Stock Market Crash Alert

Stocks dropped sharply into the close today with the DJIA falling 223 points:

Since the DJIA's reversal from the psychologically important 17000 mark in the wake of the (blood moon) lunar eclipse last Tuesday, the stock market has come down more than four percent.  This may be the opening salvo of selling in the greatest "panic" in human history.

As highlighted in this blog many times over the years, there is a tendency for mass mood to collapse in the autumn.  In fact, thirteen of the twenty worst single-day percentage drops in the DJIA occurred between late-September and early-November, i.e., 65% of the twenty largest daily drops in the stock market occurred in a time interval that constitutes less than 14% of the annual calendar:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: Worst Single-Day Declines (Dow Jones Industrial Average, percentage change) Percentage Date Decline __________________________________________ October 19, 1987 -22.61% October 28, 1929 -12.82% October 29, 1929 -11.73% November 6, 1929 -9.92% December 18, 1899 -8.72% August 12, 1932 -8.40% March 14, 1907 -8.29% October 26, 1987 -8.04% October 15, 2008 -7.87% July 21, 1933 -7.84% October 18, 1937 -7.75% December 1, 2008 -7.70% October 9, 2008 -7.33% February 1, 1917 -7.24% October 27, 1997 -7.16% October 5, 1932 -7.15% September 17, 2001 -7.13% September 24, 1931 -7.07% July 20, 1933 -7.07% September 29, 2008 -6.98%

More specifically, the tendency is for financial panics and waves of mass fear to develop after the full moon in the Hebrew month of Tishrei (this year this meant a lunar eclipse -it marks the beginning of the Jewish harvest festival of Sukkot between Tishrei 15-22) and climax toward the end of the month and new moon.  This autumnal part of the lunar cycle, which usually occurs in October on the Gregorian Calendar, has witnessed the following panics:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618

24 September 1869 = Black Friday in 1869 = 19th of Tishrei, 5630

29 October 1929 = 1929 Stock Market Crash = 25th of Tishrei, 5690

26 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 28th of Tishrei, 5723

24 October 1973 = Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War = 28th of Tishrei, 5734

19 October 1987 = 1987 Black Monday Crash = 26th of Tishrei, 5748

13 October 1989 = 1989 Friday the 13th Crash (+earthquake) = 14th of Tishrei, 5750

27 October 1997 = 1997 Asian Financial Crisis = 26th of Tishrei, 5758

24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis (max VIX) = 25th of Tishrei, 5769

[Note that I've included in the list above the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and October 1973 Arab/Israeli Yom Kippur War since, while not reflected in major stock market crashes, these historical crises were still effectively mass panics. This was signified on both occasions by the fact that the highest DEFCON nuclear alerts ever were reached during these crises, actually peaking right into the same time frame of the 7th lunar month as when the stock market crashes in 1929 and 1987 climaxed.]

Could the historical pattern be repeating this October of 2014?

Of course, all of this must be poppycock because the geniuses in economics and finance departments at colleges around the world are still teaching that markets are efficient, there are no predictable patterns (like the Elliott Wave Principle is based upon) and the stock market follows a "Random Walk".  Thus, it's perfectly OK for people to think and behave as selfish, hedonistic animals like "homo economicus" because, in the long-run, competitive market societies like America will gravitate toward "general equilibrium" (READ: "social harmony") and Pareto optimality (READ: maximum happiness for all).  So go ahead and place your faith in Mammon (the "god" of "in god we trust" on American currency should be small-cap) and worship the bronze Charging Bull on Wall Street (our version of the Golden Calf), because great minds have put together an incredibly sophisticated. mathematically consistent theoretical system called the neoclassical synTHESIS that just about proves greed is good and laissez-faire capitalism is the way to manage this world!

Well....I have an opposing THESIS.

For a decade I was schooled in this utter tripe and now it's my turn to school the Ayn Rand-loving herd that pontificates this FALSE RELIGION to the masses to reinforce the current manic peak of collective bipolar insanity we're in the midst of (yes Professor Langlois, I ended that sentence with a preposition!).

We are all part of a social organism and unless we heed the Golden Rule of LOVE that God commands, in the long-run, a world driven by selfishness and greed will gravitate toward general disequilibrium of unprecedented historical scale, what one might call an Elliott Wave Grand Supercycle peak, soon after which the system-as-whole will collapse upon itself or, more specifically, CRASH....most probably in October when the mood of our insane species typically breaks down.

Of course, who am I to tell you all about how the real world works?  I'm up against the greatest minds in the world - esteemed professors, eminent scholars,  the Who's Who scientific establishment ruling modern times - while I'm just some manic-depressive nutcase who's so crazy he thinks he might be Jesus Christ returned!  I'm supposed to better know REALITY?! LOL!!!

Well....I do, because I bothered to actually take a look at it.

Let's all be thankful the reversal in the stock market from Dow 17000 thus far has been constrained to typical Wall Street insanity.  As it is, the projection per the historical pattern is for a panic climax into early next week (Tishrei 25-28 is October 19-22 this year).  I deeply hope and pray that, should this unfold, it's simply a '29-style financial panic and the inevitable onset of the next economic recession (well, it's rather obvious we'd be heading into the second Great Depression this time around).  If the panic starts to take the form of a geopolitical crisis, i.e., WAR, then it could very well be that DEFCON 1 will be reached next week.  In that case, all bets are off, and everyone might as well accept Jesus into their hearts, beg for God's mercy and head for the hills as quickly as possible...

EOM

This Week's Lunar Eclipse, Autumn Panics & God's Harvest

And God said, "Let there be lights in the vault of the sky to separate the day from the night, and let them serve as signs to mark sacred times, and days and years." [Genesis 1:14]

“There will be signs in the sun, moon and stars. On the earth, nations will be in anguish and perplexity at the roaring and tossing of the sea. People will faint from terror, apprehensive of what is coming on the world, for the heavenly bodies will be shaken. At that time they will see the Son of Man coming in a cloud with power and great glory. When these things begin to take place, stand up and lift up your heads, because your redemption is drawing near.” [Luke 21:25-28] 

This week, on October 7-8, there will be a total lunar eclipse.

Does this eclipse portend the crash of Western civilization? There's compelling reason to think so.

In recent weeks or months, you might have caught Pastor John Hagee, Rabbi Mark Biltz and/or Rabbi Jonathan Cahn on television or elsewhere discussing how a "tetrad" (4 consecutive) of blood moons (total lunar eclipses) are occurring in 2014 and 2015 that will coincide with the Jewish holidays of Passover and Sukkot during the spring and autumn, respectively.

We are now approaching the second lunar eclipse in the tetrad series on October 8th next week.



According to the Hebrew calendar, this next eclipse is occurring at the beginning of a Jewish "Sabbatical year" called a Shemitah (the lunar-based Hebrew calendar effectively starts in September on the Gregorian calendar).  According to biblical tradition, this year is supposed to be set aside by Jewish faithful for serving God and during it land must rest and crops not be planted.  Hence, the harvest gathered in the autumn at the beginning of the Sabbatical year is extra important since it will be used for two years.

The lunar eclipse this week marks the beginning of Sukkot, the Jewish harvest festival. Sukkot runs seven day, i..e, from October 8th to 15th this year on the Gregorian calendar.  On the Hebrew calendar this is from Tishrei 15 to Tishrei 22.

As explained in my Master's Thesis on "Manic-Depressive Man" and repeatedly highlighted in this blog, there is a seasonal tendency for "panics" to occur in mass mood during late-Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar which is usually October on the Gregorian calendar. Typically these waves of collective fear show up on Wall Street in the form of financial panics.

Incredibly, as discovered by Chris Carolan, author of the award-winning 1998 article written, Autumn Panics: A Calendar Phenomenon, the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes climaxed into the same day on the Hebrew calendar, i.e., the 28th day of the 7th lunar month (Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar):





I took Carolan's discovery a step further utilizing an online Hebrew date converter. What I found is that the tendency is for mass panics to develop between the full moon and new moon in the second half of the 7th month on the lunar calendar which is generally equivalent to the period between Tishrei 15 and Tishrei 30 on the Jewish calendar (usually late-October on the Gregorian calendar). During this annual time window, the following major "panics" took place:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618

24 September 1869 = Black Friday in 1869 = 19th of Tishrei, 5630

29 October 1929 = 1929 Stock Market Crash = 25th of Tishrei, 5690

26 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 28th of Tishrei, 5723

24 October 1973 = Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War = 28th of Tishrei, 5734

19 October 1987 = 1987 Black Monday Crash = 26th of Tishrei, 5748

13 October 1989 = 1989 Friday the 13th Crash = 14th of Tishrei, 5750

27 October 1997 = 1997 Asian Financial Crisis = 26th of Tishrei, 5758

24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5769

Note that I've included in the list above the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and October 1973 Arab/Israeli Yom Kippur War since, while not reflected in major stock market crashes, these historical crises were still effectively mass panics. This was signified on both occasions by the fact that the highest DEFCON nuclear alerts ever were reached during these crises, actually peaking right into the same time frame of the 7th lunar month as when the stock market crashes in 1929 and 1987 climaxed.

In 2014, Tishrei 15-30 on the Hebrew calendar will fall on October 8-23 on the Gregorian calendar. Thus, with the lunar eclipse this week, we are entering the period when panics tend to kick-off according to mass mood seasonality. If a mass panic develops, it may climax into October 20-23 as the historical pattern suggests.

That a lunar eclipse could seemingly "trigger" a coming panic should come as no surprise to anyone who frequents this blog.

We are now entering a "Puetz eclipse crash window" with the lunar eclipse this week that will be followed by a solar eclipse on on October 23rd.

"Puetz attempted to discover if eclipses and market crashes were somehow connected. Without discussing our own opinion on the potential connection between astronomical configurations and market timing, let's simply relate to you the basic findings discussed by Puetz. He emphasized that he is not contending that full moons close to solar eclipses cause market crashes. But he does conclude that a full moon in general and a lunar (eclipse) full moon close to solar eclipses, in particular, seem to be the triggering device that allows for the rapid transformation of investor psychology from manic greed to paranoia. He asks what the odds are that eight of the greatest market crashes in history would accidentally fall within a time period of six days before to three days after a full moon that occurred within six weeks of a solar eclipse? His answer is that for all eight crashes to accidentally fall within the required intervals would be .23 raised to the eighth power less than one chance in 127,000."

". . .Puetz) used eight previous crashes in various markets from the Holland Tulip Mania in 1637 through the Tokyo crash in 1990. He noted that market crashes tend to be lumped near the full moons that are also lunar eclipses. In fact, he states, the greatest number of crashes start after the first full moon after a solar eclipse when that full moon is also a lunar eclipse . . Once the panic starts, Puetz notes, it generally lasts from two to four weeks. The tendency has been for the markets to peak a few days ahead of the full moon, move flat to slightly lower --waiting for the full moon to pass. Then on the day of the full moon or slightly after, the brunt of the crash hits the marketplace."

Notably, The 1929 stock market crash occurred with a Puetz crash window around a solar eclipse on November 1st of that year and the 1987 panic occurred in connection with a solar eclipse on September 23rd and lunar eclipse on October 7th in that year.

All in all, based upon seasonal patterns in mass mood swings, there is a danger the world will experience a mass panic (upset of collective beliefs and expectations) starting around the time of the lunar eclipse this week and climaxing into October 20-23.

What form might any approaching panic take?

This panic could take the form of a global financial meltdown and/or even a nuclear third world war.

ALSO SEE:

Is The Greatest Turning Point In Human History Near-At-Hand?

Dow 17000 & The Peak of Western Civilization?

Note that the lunar eclipses in 2014 parallel those in 32AD when Christ might have been crucified (although April 3rd, 33AD looks like a better candidate):

In 2014, the Hebrew calendar lines up with the Gregorian calendar in 32AD the same way as well.

Leave in the spring and return in the fall maybe?

[WORK PROCEEDING. STAY TUNED.] 

Jonathan Cahn, The Coming Shemitah Year & God's Judgment

This week will see the Jewish holiday of Rosh Hashanah and the beginning of a new "Shemitah" year. Will this be the year of God's Judgment of this world? There's compelling reason to believe so.

Of course, I have tried to warn you all to apparently no avail...

Dow 17000 & The Peak Of Western Civilization?

“Pride goes before destruction, And a haughty spirit before a fall.” - Proverbs 16:18

“In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule.” - Friedrich Nietzsche

Today was a seemingly uneventful day in the stock market with the DJIA closing up 18.82 points to a closing all-time high of 16,943.10 on relatively light trading volume. Yet, there's a possibility that today will prove to have involved one of the most important events in human history: the all-time top in the U.S. stock market and, in turn, the effective peak of Western Civilization. Here's why I think so.

As noted in Sunday's blog, "Is The Greatest Turning Point In Human History Near-At-Hand?", at the end of last week Robert Prechter of Elliott Wave International released an alert that "there is a strong probability that the last all-time high in the Dow for years to come will register today". While Prechter may have been early in making his call, I believe the final piece of the puzzle came together today to mark the final top in the stock market.

In my Master's Thesis, "Manic Depressive Man", I posit that our species suffers from a "creative genius syndrome" known in psychiatry as a "bipolar disorder".  This form of collective insanity manifests as large-scale historical swings between mass manias of creative human activity and social depressions involving prolonged economic stagnation, general despair and destructive human activity.  A simple example of this cyclical historical pattern of social behavior occurred between the 1920s and 1940s.  The "Roaring Twenties" involved a period of rapid technological and economic development that peaked in 1929.  This top was followed by the October '29 Great Crash on Wall Street, the 1930s Great Depression and then the Second World War.

Thus, while reigning market theories of the day are fixated on the rationality of man and efficiency of markets, the historical reality is the opposite, i.e., human irrationality and recurrent bipolar waves of market instability are the rule.  (This is because the current leading financial and economic theorists are caught up in the collective insanity and their extraordinary popular delusions serve to reinforce the overall self-destructive trend.)

In the context of my 'manic depressive man thesis', my diagnosis highlights the importance of watching for bipolar "Elliott Waves" movements in stock prices, contrarianism and utilizing indicators of mass mood extremes to ascertain historical turning points and, lastly, topping patterns at psychologically significant thousand levels in major stock indices like the DJIA.  As for Elliott Wave patterns and psychological indicators of mass mood extremes, Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International keeps timely track of historical conditions.  So rather than reworking the wheel on these elements, I invite readers to go to ElliottWave.com where, as of the time of this writing, a two-week free trial is available for anyone who wants a thorough update on where the world currently stands. Robert Prechter is offering free access to his work at this time because he understands, as I, that we likely have just completed or are about to complete the run-up in stock prices and associated mass mood from the extreme low reached in March of 2009 in association with the global financial panic and economic breakdown into that historical juncture.  In the broad Elliott Wave context and as noted in my weekend blog, this means the final top in U.S. stock prices likely forever.

What Elliott Wave International does not highlight is the role of psychologically important thousand marks in determining major historical turning points, and it is to this element that I'd like to now turn your attention.

As readers of my blog and viewers of my videos have long been exposed to, I pay close attention to when the stock market reaches and reverses from key thousand mark levels in widely watched U.S. and international stock indices. This is because such junctures not only mark key turning points in financial trends, they also tend to coincide with major historical "shocks" that set in motion major trend reversals.  These shocks can be completely "exogenous" (a fallacious term) to financial markets and the economy, e.g., geopolitical crises, outbreaks of war, etc.

Here's three notable historical examples I often cite.

Between 1966 and 1982, the DJIA went up to the psychologically important "Magic 1000" barrier and reversed course multiple times.  Each major reversal off Dow 1000 involved significant bear markets with the stock market falling 20%+ five times.  Each of these bear markets involved all kinds of negative historical events and trends from the Vietnam War to oil shocks to Watergate.  This included the major reversal in the autumn of 1973 associated with that year's Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War and the subsequent OPEC oil embargo which drove the DJIA down by 40%+ in a year's time and precipitated the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression up to that point.



Likewise, in the summer of 1990 the DJIA reversed from the psychologically important 3000 mark (reaching a closing all-time high that year of 2999.75 on July 16th and July 17th) and fell by 25% by October of that year.  This trend reversal took the form of Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, a significant oil-shock and the 1990 Gulf Crisis which pushed the economy into a recession.



A final profound example occurred in the autumn of 2001 when, just after the DJIA reversed below the psychologically important 10000 mark on September 6th of that year, Wall Street broke hard with the 9/11 terror attacks on the World Trade Center towers and Pentagon:


As for the current juncture, this afternoon the DJIA came within 30 points of the psychologically important 17000 mark:

The Dow Jones Composite index got as high as 5999.37:

And overseas, the German DAX closed above the 10000 mark for the first time in history:

Is the same historical pattern repeating here, i.e., the stock market is peaking at psychologically important thousand marks in key indices?  If so, will a reversal come in the form of some seemingly exogenous geopolitical shock?

What's important to consider is that, per the Elliott Wave Principle, this is no ordinary top but rather a peak of unprecedented historical scale that should be followed by a 99%+ collapse in stock prices in a very brief period of possibly two years per Robert Prechter's recent special alert.

Hence my use of such strong language in current writings, i.e., that Western Civilization is peaking.  Not only are we looking at a peak of Western Civilization here, the form a reversal will take could very well be apocalyptic in nature, and this is where the rest of my work concerning Russia's strategic deception of the West for the purpose of unleashing a surprise nuclear third world war may unfortunately prove prescient.  We may very well be looking at the cataclysmic end of "capitalism" in the not-too-distant future.

God have mercy on our souls...

Is The Greatest Turning Point In Human History Near-At-Hand?

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana
For regular leaders of my blog, you've seen from time to time that I reference my "Manic-Depressive Man" thesis and provide commentary drawn from the Elliott Wave Principle.  We may now be at one of the most important historical turning points ever based upon my unique perspective.

ELLIOTT WAVE PRINCIPLE UPDATE

"Given the terminal nature of the entire wave from the 2009 low, there is a strong probability that the last all-time high in the Dow for years to come will register today. The extremely low volatility of recent months is likely to transition to the greatest volatility ever recorded for U.S. stocks.  Our timing work suggests that wave c to the downside will be relentless and do its damage over a brief span of two years." 

- Rober Prechter, Elliott Wave Theorist interim report, 6/6/2014

The Elliott Wave Principle was developed in the 1930's by Ralph N. Elliott, an accountant by profession, who was bedridden for long periods of time due to chronic illness and took that time to analyze stock price charts in the wake of the 1929 Great Crash to determine if there was any recurring patterns.  From this, he formulated Elliott's "Wave Principle" that the stock market generally proceeds in a path of three steps forward with two steps back on recurring scales of magnitude that is depicted like this:

In the 1970's and 1980's, Elliott's Wave Principle was uncovered and popularized my market technician Robert Prechter who eventually started Elliott Wave International headquartered in Gainesville, GA, that has since become the world renown authority for analysis of global markets utilizing the theory.

I will not attempt here to reexplain the Wave Principle and its many rules and tenets but instead encourage any one interested in further learning to ElliottWave.com and Robert Prechter's advisory services for a thorough explanation of the theory and its current application to global markets.  Robert Prechter has invested his life into developing and bringing to global light this most important social SCIENCE of mass human thought and behavior and you will do yourself a great disservice by failing to take advantage of an opportunity to learn more.  (No....I'm not a paid shrill, but I am an admiring fan of Prechter's ingenious work.)  For those with insufficient funds or interest, Wikipedia has an excellent overview of the Wave Principle.

What's critical is that, at the current juncture, the Elliott Wave Principle is signalling we are currently reaching the ultimate historical top....what is aptly described as the peak of Western Civilization:

In the context of this long-term topping process, we are now at or near the end of the rebound in mass mood and stock prices since the Spring 2009 low (see Prechter's quote above).  

What does this mean?  

That's the $100 trillion question I'd like to answer here now.

First off, let's consider the authoritative perspective of Elliott Wave International:

Above is the opening section of the latest Elliott Wave Financial Forecast which was released Friday.  

As you can see, the view is that the DJIA, which closed just below the psychologically important 17000 mark last week, is "TOPPING".  Following this top, a drive in stock prices down to below the 400 mark on the DJIA (and that's really 400....not 4000) is anticipated according to the tenets of the Wave Principle.

What could cause such a massive collapse in the DJIA?

For the answer to that we first must consider what the DJIA represents.  The DJIA is a market index derived from the equity share prices of 30 of the largest U.S. corporations.  In this way, it is a price measurement that represents the earnings and well-being of the U.S. economy.  A rising DJIA means rising stock prices in general and climbing earnings anticipations for big business, i.e., it implies rising collective confidence and optimism for American capitalism.  Likewise, a falling DJIA implies an upset of collective confidence and growing pessimism for American capitalism.

Thus for the DJIA to fall from 17000 to below 400 in a matter of a couple of years from now, some sort of drastic upset of investor confidence in U.S. capitalism would need to occur.  Where could such a historic upset come from?

 That's what I've been trying futility to warn this world about for the past 20+ years! Western collective confidence in capitalism has been intentionally pushed to irrational heights by Kremlin strategic deceptions for the very purpose of a total upset in the form of a surprise nuclear third world war.

“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” - Carl Sagan

AND THEN THE LAWLESS ONE WILL BE REVEALED, WHOM THE LORD JESUS WILL OVERTHROW WITH THE BREATH OF HIS MOUTH AND DESTROY BY THE SPLENDOR OF HIS COMING. [2 THESSALONIANS 2:8]

An Apocalypse (Greek: Ἀποκάλυψις Apokálypsis; "lifting of the veil" or "revelation") is a disclosure of something hidden from the majority of mankind in an era dominated by falsehood and misconception, i.e. the veil to be lifted. In a rather common-sensical way the term is associated with an eschatological final battle, the Armageddon, and the idea of an end of the world due to out of time. This perceptions may better be related to the phrase apokalupsis eschaton, literally "revelation at [or of] the end of the æon, or age". In Christianity The Apocalypse of John is the Book of Revelation, the last book of the Bible. (Wikipedia)

Stock market patterns suggest imminent historical shock...

On Friday, the DJIA fell 143 points closing just above the psychologically important 16000 mark:

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 54 points to just below the psychologically important 4000 mark:

As I have been pointing out for decades, when key stock market indexes like the DJIA reverse below key thousand marks, historical shocks tend to occur like Iraq's 1990 invasion of Iraq and 9/11:







Is a reversal from Dow 16000 and Nasdaq 4000 going to coincide with a historical shock?

Certainly current developments in the Ukraine crisis indicate this is possible.

Could we be looking at World War Three?

Unfortunately this is a distinct possibility.



While dangerously deluded academicians are busy contemplating the "rationality" and "efficiency" of market societies, the reality, as explained in my Master's Thesis, is that Western societies are afflicted with insane manic-depressive mass mood swings:



While such collective mental and emotional instability is very "creative", it nonetheless means our species is a danger to itself and the world man inhabits. Such is the blessing and curse of the "global bipolar disorder". The human parallel can be found in the arts where artists afflicted with bipolar disorder creatively dominate:


[LIST OF BIPOLAR MUSICIANS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MUSIC VIDEO PLAYLIST ABOVE]

In terms of creative/destructive manic-depressive mood swings afflicting the species of man, they appear to abide by a fractal pattern popularized by Robert Prechter called the Elliott Wave Principle. According to the Elliott Wave Principle, the world is currently in the midst of the ultimate manic extreme, the peak of Western Civilization, which will be followed by a Grand Supercycle collapse of irrational collective beliefs and expectations:

Obviously, if Robert Prechter's projection that the DJIA will fall below the 400 level in short order is correct, then whatever historical shocks are ahead will effectively be world ending in character....and that's what I've been desperately warning about for decades:



In the context of a reversal below Dow 16000 and Nasdaq 4000 at the current juncture, an important factor to consider is seasonality and a "Puetz eclipse crash" window.

There will be a total lunar eclipse on April 15th.

Per Steve Puetz, an eclipse "crash window" is in effect from 6 days before to 3 days after a full moon within six weeks of a solar eclipse, but most often panics occur around the time of a lunar eclipse:

"Puetz attempted to discover if eclipses and market crashes were somehow connected. Without discussing our own opinion on the potential connection between astronomical configurations and market timing, let's simply relate to you the basic findings discussed by Puetz. He emphasized that he is not contending that full moons close to solar eclipses cause market crashes. But he does conclude that a full moon in general and a lunar (eclipse) full moon close to solar eclipses, in particular, seem to be the triggering device that allows for the rapid transformation of investor psychology from manic greed to paranoia. He asks what the odds are that eight of the greatest market crashes in history would accidentally fall within a time period of six days before to three days after a full moon that occurred within six weeks of a solar eclipse? His answer is that for all eight crashes to accidentally fall within the required intervals would be .23 raised to the eighth power less than one chance in 127,000."

". . .Puetz) used eight previous crashes in various markets from the Holland Tulip Mania in 1637 through the Tokyo crash in 1990. He noted that market crashes tend to be lumped near the full moons that are also lunar eclipses. In fact, he states, the greatest number of crashes start after the first full moon after a solar eclipse when that full moon is also a lunar eclipse . . Once the panic starts, Puetz notes, it generally lasts from two to four weeks. The tendency has been for the markets to peak a few days ahead of the full moon, move flat to slightly lower --waiting for the full moon to pass. Then on the day of the full moon or slightly after, the brunt of the crash hits the marketplace."

Thus, we are in a Puetz eclipse crash window from now until around April 18th.

Will a crash here be of Grand Supercycle magnitude and potentially involve the suicide of the species? In the context the seasonality of man's insane mass mood swings, it's possible:



Notably, the suicide rate peaks in the Spring:

Psychiatrists have been scratching their chins over this one for years. Counterintuitively, the arrival of spring and the long sunny days it ushers in, mark a staggering rise in suicide rates.

This week, mental health experts at the Priory group said that May is the peak month for suicides in Britain. "The increase can be dramatic, with up to 50% more successful suicides in some cases," says Chris Thompson, director of healthcare at the Priory group. In Britain, about 6,300 people take their own lives each year, 90% of whom are likely to have mental health problems.

The seasonal effect is seen all over the world, with the northern hemisphere witnessing a big rise in suicides in May and June and the southern hemisphere seeing a similar rise in November. While no one has a complete explanation as to why, the leading theory is that the increase is down to the effects of sunlight on our hormones.

God have mercy on our souls...

Some Apocalyptic Ranting...

The DJIA plunged 243 points today in the first significant bought of selling in some time. While at first this might seem like a bit of overdue profit-taking, there's reason to be concerned that this is the beginning of something far more significant. As has long been tracked by this blogger, the Elliott Wave Principle has been indicating that the world is on the verge what can only be described as an "Apocalypse Wave" collapse in mass mood.

The Elliott Wave Principle popularized by Robert Prechter is a market and economic forecasting tool that focuses upon a theory of "Business Cycles" akin to that proposed by Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter in his classic text, Business Cycles.  Schumpeter proposed there was not just the typical 3-5 year cycle in economic activity, but rather cycles within cycles within cycles such that there are 4-year cycles, 9-year cycles, 18-year cycles and long-waves between prosperity and depression like the 50-60 year Kondratieff wave.  Schumpeter recognized that collective pulses of innovative and investment activity underlie these cycles in the general economy.  What seems to occur is waves within waves of innovative and productive activity overtime that engender the creative development of economic knowhow.

Robert Prechter, through his studies of market analyst R.N. Elliott, takes the idea of cycles within cycles to a whole new level and proposes that markets and economies fluctuate according to a fractal "Elliott Wave" pattern that has distinct mathematical parameters:

According to the Elliott Wave Principle, as with any fractal pattern, there is no limit to the scale of cycles within cycles from very small day-to-day or even hour-by-hour cycles to cycles that unfold over decades, or even centuries.  In this context, the very long-term patterns of cycles is highly relevant to the current historical juncture.

In his October 19th Elliott Wave Theorist newsletter, Robert Prechter highlights how very long-term historical stock market patterns have completed Elliott Wave structures suggesting an epic turning point  is at-hand decades, if not centuries, in the making. In this regard, examine the following charts:

As these charts show, stock prices have just reversed from trendline resistance almost a century in the making.  This has literally outlined the rise of American global hegemony.  What does this pattern imply?  Consider what Robert Prechter is projecting based upon the Elliott Wave Principle:

The numbers on the above chart are not in error.  The Elliott Wave Principle, if accurate, currently suggests the DJIA is now entering a 90%+ plunge in value.

But what could cause such a calamitous collapse in equity values in the U.S.?  This is precisely what I've been trying to warn the world about ever since my apocalyptic vision in 1991 (apparently to no avail).  While a massive economic depression might explain some degree of a breakdown in financial markets around the world - and to be sure an historic speculative bubble has been inflated to preposterous extremes via central bank money printing and the creation of explosive financial derivatives (what Warren Buffet dubbed financial weapons of mass destruction) thus setting the stage for an unprecedented economic calamity - the truth is that this is just a part of the bubble in irrationally optimistic collective beliefs and expectations set to pop.  To bring utter collapse to America and world capitalism would clearly require a more direct blow, and this is where 9/11 has been pointing the way to the complete oblivion of the Western populace.

The reality is that the totalitarian forces of the East have long been plotting the capitalist West's demise via a surprise nuclear third world war.  In this light it is important to recognize that what is unfolding over the course of human history is, in fact, what I've outlined in my thesis, i.e., a "Global Bipolar Disorder".  Elliott Wave patterns in the stock market represent fluctuations in mass beliefs and expectations between irrationally extreme highs and lows.  The course of human events unfolds in the context of these extreme mood swings and fulfills the insanely unstable collective sentiment.  I believe the underlying source of the instability in mass mood, thought and behavior is what Jesus pointed out to this world 2000 years ago, i.e., selfishness has driven this world crazy and we must learn to love God and love (value) thy neighbors as thy-selves lest we end up in an Apocalypse.

Guess what?

Ahhh....but everyone has better things to do then consider my apocalyptic rantings on the internet.

The DJIA is quickly approaching the psychologically important 13,000 mark in the seasonally dangerous autumn period (never mind going into a Puetz eclipse crash window around the time of the 11/13 total solar eclipse).

Reversal From Dow 13K, Nasdaq 3K & Purim

UPDATE: The day after Purim 2012 the current round of Arab-Israeli violence began starting with an IDF airstrike in Gaza that took out two key militant leaders.

The DJIA and Nasdaq Composite stock indices reversed decisively from the psychologically important 13K and 3K marks today, respectively:





The Nasdaq Composite reached a high of 3000.11 on March 1st and the DJIA closed at 13005 on February 29th. This may have been the Elliott Wave Primary wave-2 peak in mass mood before the Apocalypse Wave that may now be underway with today's sharp drop in stock prices.

[Other stock markets around the world: UK 6K, Germany 7K, Japan 10K, South Korea 2K, Taiwan 8K, Singapore 3K, Indonesia 4K.]

As explained in my thesis and reiterated in this blog time and time again, reversals from psychologically significant thousand marks in major stock averages often correspond with major historical shocks like the 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War, Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait and the terrorist attacks against America on 9/11:







What about this time around?

Again, the major concern is that, according to the Elliott Wave Principle, the next leg down in mass mood should be what I've dubbed the "Apocalypse Wave":





As can be seen above, according to Robert Prechter, the "Elliott Wave Theorist", a 90%+ collapse in U.S. stock prices is being projected according to the Wave Principle.

Where would such an epic collapse in mass mood come from?

Obviously that's what I've been trying to warn the world about for literally half of my life since suffering an apocalyptic vision in February of 1991 that began with seeing a special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel.



Is it possible the world is now about to experience what I foresaw 21 years ago?

I hope and pray not.

However, here is an interesting tidbit of information that seems to suggest Israel might strike Iran's nuclear sites sooner than later....an action that could result in what I foresaw in 1991.



On Thursday the Jewish holiday of Purim will occur that commemorates God's salvation of the Jewish people from annihilation by the Persians as accounted for in the Old Testament's Book of Esther.

Here's what's remarkable about Purim in recent history (list of Purim dates):

1. Purim 1991 (2/28) - The first war against Iraq ends.

2. Purim 2003 (3/18) - The second war against Iraq begins (actually next day: 9:34 p.m., March 19 EST).

3. Purim 2008 - (2/21) A 7.2-magnitude earthquake hits western China.

4. Purim 2010 (2/28) - An 8.8 earthquake strikes Chile (actually 2/27 - Purim began at sunset that day - sixth largest earthquake ever to be recorded by a seismograph).

5. Purim 2011 (2/20) - NATO military intervention in Libya begins. (Intervention began the night of 2/19 which was precisely when Purim begins, i.e., after sunset. Interestingly, if you turn the word Libya into Hebrew letters, it spells 'G-d's heart' (לב-יה). Also note that days prior, on 3/11/11, Japan suffered a 9.0 earthquake and massive tsunami.)

What about 2012 (March 8)?

Well, maybe it is telltale that during Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's visit to the White House yesterday, in which the possibility of an Israeli strike on Iran was the primary topic, the Jewish leader left a decorated scroll telling the biblical story of the Book of Esther as a gift.

Was Benjamin Netanyahu signaling something?

Regardless of the when and where of what is about to unfold, the important point is that Israel and America need to be aware they are coming under God's judgment for their "sin", i.e., for rebellion against God in their relentless pursuit of Mammon:





[Korea also bears watching, especially given my Global Bipolar hypothesis and the implications of the Taegeuk yin-yang symbol on the South Korean flag along with the fact that the Korean DMZ is the last active battle line between the Communist East and Capitalist West. Note how three Asian stock markets likely to be impacted by Korea have just reversed from key thousand marks in their major averages: South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore. The bottom line is this, there's a reason that America's enemies have been given the upper hand to deceive, destroy and subjugate us in the name of Communism (care for thy neighbor as thyself) and Islam (submission to God's will).]

Dow 13K, Nasdaq 3K & Bob Prechter on RussiaToday

The DJIA reversed significantly and closed below the psychologically important 13000 mark today after closing at 13005 yesterday:



With a pop in stocks this morning, the Nasdaq Composite reached up to just above the 3000 mark (3000.11), the highest level seen since 2000. The key index of speculative sentiment then sharply revered course closing at 1967:



Thus, as I've been pointing out for years, the U.S. stock market is testing psychologically important thousand marks that may be followed by, as the Elliott Wave Principle suggests, an "Apocalypse Wave":





What would be the source of such a dramatic reversal in irrationally optimistic collective beliefs and expectations? Well....as I've been warning the world about for two decades since my apocalyptic vision in February 1991, the "Old Enemy", i.e., the Communist East, has intentionally misled the Capitalist West for the purpose of a surprise nuclear third world war by which Russia and China can achieve their long-run objective, i.e., the defeat of freedom and world domination.

In light of this scenario, drawn from my insights about the irrationality of everyone around me based upon the Elliott Wave Principle, I'd like to note that at the beginning of the week I received an email from Bob Prechter essentially telling me to go away after 25 years of written correspondence.

Interestingly, one of our last discussion points was the Elliott Wave International YouTube channel that I noted was not being updated regularly. Well....soon thereafter, someone updated the channel with the following appearance of Bob Prechter on RussiaToday:



For someone who likes to highlight his membership in Mensa, and even more ironically claims to be "libertarian", you'd think Prechter would be a little wiser about being a "useful idiot" for Russian propaganda. But when the mighty $ is to be had, intelligence often is the first virtue to be set aside.

Guess this is the case more generally in that Prechter has been aware of my apocalyptic vision, and the implications regarding what the "Old Enemy" is up to, for the last 20 years. Yet, he rescinded his offer of my employment and devoted all his time and energy to warning the world about a coming deflationary economic depression when, as reversals from psychologically important thousand marks in key stock indices like the DJIA should indicate, the more plausible explanation is that America's "crash" will come in the form of thermonuclear annihilation compliments of Russia.

But, alas, some thoughts are unthinkable even for the greatest minds. Thus, folk cooperate with, instead of struggle against, the very source of their own demise. How smart is that?!

"War to the hilt between communism and capitalism is inevitable. Today, of course, we are not strong enough to attack. Our time will come in 30 to 40 years. To win, we shall need the element of surprise. The bourgeoisie will have to be put to sleep. So we shall begin by launching the most spectacular peace movement on record. There will be electrifying overtures and unheard of concessions. The capitalist countries, stupid and decadent, will rejoice to cooperate in their own destruction. They will leap at another chance to be friends. As soon as their guard is down, we will smash them with our clenched fist." - Dmitri Z. Manuilsky, Moscow's Lenin School of Political Warfare

[The most ridiculous aspect of my existence is that I'm supposed to believe all these great minds around me can't comprehend the obvious truths I'm presenting. Of course the truth is comprehensible, it's just folk opt to "make believe" otherwise to avoid the obvious responsibility to do something, anything, to resist the catastrophic fate everyone is making for us all. I believe this shirking of moral responsibility is called intellectual and moral cowardice, and its reprehensible and ultimately unforgivable IMHO. And I'm dismissed as insane? To the contrary. Why the hell am I alone in my efforts? This speaks volumes.]