Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Who Authors Human History?

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I believe we may now be entering a very important juncture in human history.

The DJIA recently reversed from the psychologically important 10,000 mark:



This may have been, or will soon be, the peak of an Elliott Wave Primary wave-two in a Grand Superycle bear market:



Mid-October will see a significant cluster of Spiral Calendar anniversaries that suggests some sort of extreme in mass emotion lies dead ahead:



You can add to that chart above that October 16th is a significant F25 Spiral Calendar anniversary of the August 1987 top before that year's crash. The Spiral Calendar, derived from lunar cycles and Fibonacci-based periodicity, pinpoints extremes of mass emotion based upon the timing of past extremes of mass emotion.

While Chris Carolan has been looking for a top into October 9th, it's possible the stock market and mass mood already topped and there will be a mass panic into that window of time.

Note that the week of October 11-17 will involve the "Dark Days" of autumn identified by Carolan as the most likely point during the year for panic climaxes to occur:





Note that last year the implied volatility index, which is a gauge of overall fear on Wall Street, also climaxed into the 28th day of the 7th lunar month during last year's financial crisis:





This phenomenon can be more accurately ascertained by looking up the dates of key panic climaxes (including maximum DEFCON nuclear alerts in October of 1962 and 1973) using a lunar-based Hebrew calendar converter:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618

24 September 1869 = Black Friday in 1869 = 19th of Tishrei, 5630

29 October 1929 = 1929 Stock Market Crash = 25th of Tishrei, 5690

23 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5723

Wed, 24 October 1973 = Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War = 28th of Tishrei, 5734

Mon, 19 October 1987 = 1987 Stock Market Crash = 26th of Tishrei, 5748

Tue, 28 October 1997 = 1997 Asian Financial Crisis = 27th of Tishrei, 5758

Fri, 24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5769

Tue, 13 October 2009 = 25th of Tishrei, 5770


This year the week of October 11-17, which is equivalent to Tishrei 23-29, is the typical period for a panic extreme, so we are now nearing the time of year most vulnerable to mass hysterias. Again....this may take the form of global war.

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