Tuesday, August 30, 2011

DJ Composite Hits 4K

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The Dow Jones Composite kissed the 4000 mark into the close today in stock trading and then the market reversed a bit:

Like with reversals from thousand marks in the DJIA, sometimes reversals from thousand marks in the DJ Composite are associated with significant negative historical shocks.

See my December 8, 2010 blog: Reversals from Thousand Marks in the Dow Jones Composite Index

I'm afraid what I've foreseen is drawing near:

Saturday, August 20, 2011

It is beginning...

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It is beginning IMHO:

God have mercy on our souls.

[Until Israel's a "Christian" nation, is the "Promised Land" promised?]

As I've been warning all along, the Arab Spring was just to set the stage for a war on Israel:


Angry Egyptians Break into Israeli Embassy Compound

Egyptian earns hero status with Israel flag protest

But who heeds me? After all, I'm crazy....right?

I hope so too, but the reality is not what you expect.

The unfettered, unrepentant selfishness of the "Capitalist West" could not go unanswered in the context of the "Global Bipolar Disorder". Hence, the "Communist East" has been empowered to forcibly end Western "arrogance". Neither side ultimately "wins" in such collective insanity. The only victory is if the collective insanity is brought to an End.

That is MY "strategic objective".

Friday, August 19, 2011

The Bogus Moscow Coup: 20 Years Ago Today

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Twenty years ago today tanks rolled into Moscow as part of one of the greatest Potemkin masquerades in the history of strategic deception: the bogus August 1991 coup in Moscow. Amazingly, the 'big lie' that emanated from this event, i.e., that "Communism" fell and the Soviet Union failed, has succeeded catastrophically well. With the USSR's enticing deception of seeming defeat in place, America and her allies started to fully cooperate in their own demise at the hands of the 'Old Enemy'. (Lies only succeed if their victims believe them to be true.) Tragically, soon the West and all mankind will pay dearly for believing the historical ruse that has been propagated by the Kremlin.

Below are a couple of news reports on the 20th anniversary of this epochal historical event in Russia that ushered in a new era of false peace between East and West that will eventually come to an Apocalyptic End:

Note the massive red-blue-and-white Russian flag in these reports that is draped across the news scene so the world can see the story being told, i.e., Soviet leaders were returning to the 'Russian roots' of their empire.

This is noteworthy in that, if the coup was a spontaneous event, how did Boris Yeltsin and the purported coup opposition have a chance to fashion such a massive Russian flag in anticipation of the crisis so they could more effectively present to the world their historical significance? Such massive props likely only avail themselves in such circumstances if the stage had been planned beforehand. (I could understand a colossal Soviet flag being on-hand, but at the time of the coup the idea of the reemergence of Russia in place of the Soviet Union was radically out-of-place, accept for maybe long-term Kremlin strategists. Hence, why in the hell was a block-long Russian flag lying-in-wait to be used as a propaganda device?!)

I guess a key question now is, was this part of a "20-year plan" implemented by the Communist East toward an all-out war with the Capitalist West? If so, time might be up.


"Gentlemen, comrades, do not be concerned about all you hear about Glasnost and Perestroika and democracy in the coming years. They are primarily for outward consumption. There will be no significant internal changes in the Soviet Union, other than for cosmetic purposes. Our purpose is to disarm the Americans and let them fall asleep." - Mikhail Gorbachev, November 1987

"War to the hilt between communism and capitalism is inevitable. Today, of course, we are not strong enough to attack. Our time will come in thirty or fifty years. To win, we shall need the element of surprise. The Western world will need to be put to sleep. So we shall begin by launching the most spectacular peace movement on record. There shall be electrifying overtures and unheard of concessions. The capitalist countries, stupid and decadent, will rejoice to cooperate to their own destruction. They will leap at another chance to be friends. As soon as their guard is down, we shall smash them with our clenched fist." - Dmitrii Z. Manuilskii, Lenin School of Political Warfare, Moscow, 1931

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Top Turkish Leaders turn up the heat on Syria

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This hidden little article seems insightful: Top Turkish Leaders turn up the heat on Syria

If you ask me, the whole Syrian uprising is suspect.

Every mainstream news report seems capped with a rider like the following:

CNN cannot independently verify opposition or government claims because Syria has restricted international journalists from reporting inside the country.

Much of the story being told seems staged for Western consumption, i.e., the powers of the East are baiting the West into what will ultimately prove to be a losing war for Israel, America and NATO. Of course, this sort of large-scale strategic deception of the world has been ongoing for more than 20 years, so I guess there's little hope of frogs jumping from the pot now coming to a boil.

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Turkey to set up Syria buffer zone: report

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Looks like this might be what Turkey was threatening yesterday...

(Reuters) - A Turkish broadcaster said on Tuesday Turkey would set up a buffer zone on its border with Syria, but a Turkish government official said he had no such information.

CNN Turk broadcast the news in a rolling headline. It gave no source and did not say what form the buffer zone, presumably involving encroachment on Syrian territory, would take.


UPDATE: Looks like Turkey was simply threatening not to talk to Syria

Monday, August 15, 2011

Turkey threatens Syria (with war?)

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This is low probability, but here's my current read.

We are still in a Puetz eclipse crash window around the 8/13 full moon. Crash climaxes typically occur after the full moon.

We are now reaching a Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the downleg that just occurred. It's possible that next a third of third of third Elliott Wave down could start, i.e., an "Apocalypse Wave" crash in mass mood.

Meanwhile, Turkey made some bellicose comments toward Syria today:

Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu on Monday told Bashar Assad military operations against civilians must end immediately and unconditionally, warning the Syrian president that these were Ankara's "final words".

"This is our final word to the Syrian authorities, our first expectation is that these operations stop immediately and unconditionally," Davutoglu told a news conference.

"If these operations do not stop there will be nothing left to say about the steps that would be taken," he said, without elaborating.

Now keep in mind that a Kuwaiti newspaper reported in late-June that Turkey was contemplating invading Syria to depose Bashar al-Assad.
“Turkey informed Britain, France, Italy, Germany and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) leadership of the possibility that it would launch an offensive in … Aleppo, Homs, Hama and Latakia,” As-Seyassah daily quoted an unnamed British officials as saying, according to the Lebanese news website nowlebanon.com.

Turkey is a NATO member and Syria is backed by Iran and Russia. What's more, Iran has threatened Turkey with missile strikes if Turkish bases are used for military action against Syria. I think you get the picture.

Of course, I would point out that Syria is instigating this conflict, but the truth is being well camouflaged in "unrest". One might note how Egypt sent a large military force into the Sinai over the weekend, purportedly to combat al Qaeda militants. Also, yesterday Colonel Gaddafi fired a SCUD missile at rebel territory as NATO braces itself for a final violent showdown. The Libyan dictator still likely has an arsenal of SCUDs and chemical warheads to top them with, although I don't think these missiles could reach Israel as in my apocalyptic vision.

The bottom line is that the "Arab Spring" has provided cover for the pieces to be moved into place for an effective surprise attack on Israel and, in turn, America and NATO, as I've long been warning about.

ALSO SEE: What if Turkey invaded Syria?

One might also throw this into the mix: US, South Korea Begin Joint Military Drill

It's all about making the West look to blame for starting World War Three when the East is truly culpable.

The "Fall" Is Approaching

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ALSO SEE SEPTEMBER UPDATE: Will Civilization Last Through October?

This blog is mainly a repost of one from last September regarding the seasonality of mass mood swings. It highlights what I believe constitutes profound historical corroboration of my primary thesis regarding the manic-depressive insanity of man as a species.

Given that the Elliott Wave now unfolding is likely of Primary third degree to the downside, what I've been warning could prove to be the "Apocalypse Wave", the clearly-defined historical pattern for mass panic and stock market crashes to occur during the Fall season requires special attention at this time IMHO.

While we're now in a Puetz eclipse crash window that proved relevant around the August 13th full moon, the potentially more important pattern has to do with the nuances of the lunar (monthly) and solar (annual) circadian rhythms during the autumnal season.

In my thesis I present compelling evidence that man as a species is literally insane, i.e., suffering from a collective form of manic-depressive creative genius....what I've dubbed the "Global Bipolar Disorder".

Man's mental and emotional instability has been developing into a full-blown psychosis in recent years such that there is the distinct possibility of a suicide attempt in the form of a nuclear third world war (as I believe I've supernaturally foreseen) at some point in the near-future. In this context, we are now entering a period of utmost concern. Here's specifically why I believe this to be the case.

Financial panics during the autumn are fairly common due to the seasonality of our species' repeating, severe mass mood swings. As is widely recognized, the stock market has a tendency to fall during the Fall. In fact, thirteen of the twenty worst single-day percentage drops in the DJIA occurred between late-September and early-November, i.e., 65% of the twenty largest daily drops in the stock market occurred in a time interval that constitutes less than 14% of the annual calendar:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: Worst Single-Day Declines

(Dow Jones Industrial Average, percentage change)

Date Decline
October 19, 1987 -22.61%
October 28, 1929 -12.82%
October 29, 1929 -11.73%
November 6, 1929 -9.92%
December 18, 1899 -8.72%
August 12, 1932 -8.40%
March 14, 1907 -8.29%
October 26, 1987 -8.04%
October 15, 2008 -7.87%
July 21, 1933 -7.84%
October 18, 1937 -7.75%
December 1, 2008 -7.70%
October 9, 2008 -7.33%
February 1, 1917 -7.24%
October 27, 1997 -7.16%
October 5, 1932 -7.15%
September 17, 2001 -7.13%
September 24, 1931 -7.07%
July 20, 1933 -7.07%
September 29, 2008 -6.98%

More specifically, as discovered by market analyst Chris Carolan, the tendency is for panics to climax into around the 28th day of the 7th month on the annual lunar calendar, which is equivalent to Tishrei 26 on the lunar-based Hebrew calendar:

Note that during the autumn financial panic in 2008, when the current economic crisis kicked off, the implied volatility index, which is a gauge of overall fear on Wall Street, climaxed into the 28th day of the 7th lunar month:

This phenomenon can be more accurately ascertained by looking up the dates of key panic climaxes (including maximum DEFCON nuclear alerts in October of 1962 and 1973) using a lunar-based Hebrew calendar converter:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618

24 September 1869 = Black Friday in 1869 = 19th of Tishrei, 5630

29 October 1929 = 1929 Stock Market Crash = 25th of Tishrei, 5690

26 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 28th of Tishrei, 5723

Wed, 24 October 1973 = Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War = 28th of Tishrei, 5734

Mon, 19 October 1987 = 1987 Black Monday Crash = 26th of Tishrei, 5748

Fri, 13 October 1989 = 1989 Friday the 13th Crash = 14th of Tishrei, 5750

Tue, 27 October 1997 = 1997 Asian Financial Crisis = 26th of Tishrei, 5758

Fri, 24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5769

As can be seen above, the tendency is for mass panics to climax in the second half of Tishrei and into Tishrei 25-28 specifically. Typically the acute phase of mass panic begins after the full moon in the 7th lunar month, i.e., around Tishrei 15.

What about this year?

The full moon occurs on October 12th and Tishrei 25-28 will take place between October 23rd and October 26th. Thus, we are now about to enter the time of year most vulnerable to mass hysterias.

While historically autumnal panics have taken the form of financial crises, one might note above that the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and October 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War, the two points in history when the world came closest to an all-out East-West conflict as measured by NORAD's DEFCON nuclear alert level, occurred in the context of the typical seasonal pattern for mass panics. In 1962 the highest DEFCON status was reached on October 26th, or Tishrei 28. In 1973, the highest DEFCON nuclear alert was reached on October 24th, or Tishrei 28 as well in that year. (Note that the third highest DEFCON alert occurred with 9/11 and that the subsequent collective panic associated with the 2001 Anthrax attacks and the world's first significant WMD/biological terrorism also occurred into the late-Tishrei Hebrew calendar period.)

Some might not see the connection between financial crises and geopolitical crises, but it is clear that one exists. Consider, for instance, how reversals from psychologically important thousand marks in the DJIA have correlated with geopolitical "shocks".

One of the most clear-cut examples of this occurred with the October 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War when, upon retesting the "Magic 1000" mark, the DJIA turned down in connection with the outbreak of war in the Middle East. What followed was an OPEC oil embargo against the West and a severe contraction in the global economy precipitating a 40%+ decline in stock prices in the ensuing months:

On July 16th and 17th of 1990, the DJIA closed at 2999.75 two days in a row, not closing above the psychologically important 3000 mark until the following year. Just as the DJIA reached the 3000 mark, Saddam Hussein gave a speech threatening Kuwait on what was then Iraq's President Day honoring the date of the coup that brought the former Iraqi dictator to power. That weekend, Iraq started massing troops on Kuwait triggering a 5% reversal in the DJIA from the 3000 mark. Then, on August 2nd, Iraq invaded Kuwait causing the Persian Gulf Crisis, a spike in oil prices and a 20%+ drop in the DJIA by October of that year. Thus, the reversal in mass emotion associated with failing at Dow 3000 in the summer of 1990 manifested as Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and the beginning of what would be a prolonged struggle with Saddam Hussein.

In early-September of 2001, the DJIA reversed below Dow 10,000....THEN 9/11 occurred precipitating a 20% drop in the stock market:

The 'psychological barrier phenomenon' associated with thousand marks in the DJIA is profound corroborating evidence that deterministic cyclical swings in mass mood, i.e., Elliott Waves, are some sort of hidden engine behind human history:

Now consider that my apocalyptic vision associated with my correspondence with Robert Prechter began with seeing a special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel.

In terms of the Elliott Wave Principle, we are at a juncture conducive to the start of a major war.

Watch starting around 12 minutes into the documentary above from the Socionomics Institute, History's Hidden Engine.

Robert Prechter: "The hypothesis is that as people's mood improves they feel less like fighting. The opposite happens in a bear market as people get angrier and more fearful they begin to feel more like fighting or defending themselves or attacking someone else. Wars take time to mobilize, so they don't generally erupt early in bear markets. They tend to erupt very late in bear markets. In fact, it's usually not on the first decline of a bear market, but in the second decline when war tends to breakout."

Peter Kendall: "The size of a war is almost always related to the size of the bear market that creates it."

While the historical price patterns now unfolding imply a historic market crash into October, this does not necessarily mean war. However, the comments from Robert Prechter and Peter Kendall from the documentary History's Hidden Engine noted above tell us that wars tend to erupt on the second major wave down in bear markets and that the scale of the wars ought to be on par with the scale of the Elliott Wave cycle involved. In the current case, we are looking at the second wave down, a third wave of Primary degree, in a Grand Supercycle bear market. The comparable wave down in the Supercycle-degree downswing from 1929 to 1942 was the 1937 to 1942 bear market that involved the outbreak of the second world war and domination of the world by the Axis powers. Thus, with the "Apocalypse Wave" collapse that has likely started in the wake of the May planetary alignment peak in mass mood and stock prices, there is the possibility of an outbreak of World War Three. It's a matter of Elliott Wave scale:

Hopefully I'm a deluded fool and this is all nonsense (or at least the primary concern is a financial crisis not war). Nevertheless, I believe a reasonable assessment of the available information is that, given man's somewhat predictable patterns of emotional and mental instability, there is the distinct possibility our species will suffer an acute mass panic and war, possibly involving a global nuclear holocaust, over the next couple of months.

I deeply pray I'm wrong, but it's fairly obvious that man as a species is literally demon-possessed, and, from what I can tell, I'm here to rid man of his demons. This is not a role I want, but clearly someone has to do it or there'd be no hope at all.

God have mercy on us all...

Monday, August 08, 2011

Should I even bother?

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Looks like the "Apocalypse Wave" has begun (right into a Puetz stock market crash window connected to the June 30th solar eclipse).

In terms of the Elliott Wave Principle, this means Primary Wave 3 down in a Grand Supercycle collapse is now unfolding:

While you can chart out the collective insanity and watch it unfold accordingly, the inevitable fact is that you are caught within it.

So what is the use of knowing? Is there a historical solution to man's self-destructive madness?

That's why I gave up.

I don't see God's plan working, so what is the point of even trying anymore?

Seems to me the best bet at this point is to make some money and get out of Dodge before the whole place blows. My guess is that there isn't sufficient time to work a decent escape plan before the chemical SCUDs start landing on Israeli cities, but I've been wrong before. Anyways, what's the use of evacuating when all your loved ones will refuse to leave anyways? Might as well go down with the ship.

What a sick world this is...
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