Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Prechter On CNBC

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Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Robert Prechter on Tech Ticker

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"A Decade of Insanity": Bob Prechter's Tips for Investing in Extreme Markets


Bulls Go to Extremes: Don't Buy the "Breakout", Sell It, Prechter Says


Bob Prechter: My Charts Say DOW May Plummet To 2,000

Sunday, September 19, 2010

Tis the season...

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Tomorrow is the autumnal equinox and the official onset of the "Fall" season.

In my thesis I present compelling evidence that man as a species is literally insane, i.e., suffering from a collective form of manic-depressive creative genius....what I've dubbed the "Global Bipolar Disorder".



Man's mental and emotional instability has been developing into a full-blown psychosis in recent years such that there is the distinct possibility of a suicide attempt in the form of a nuclear third world war (as I believe I've supernaturally foreseen) at some point in the near-future. In this context, we are now entering a two week period of utmost concern. Here's specifically why I believe this to be the case.

Financial panics during the autumn are fairly common due to the seasonality of our species' repeating, severe mass mood swings. As is widely recognized, the stock market has a tendency to fall during the Fall. In fact, thirteen of the twenty worst single-day percentage drops in the DJIA occurred between late-September and early-November, i.e., 65% of the twenty largest daily drops in the stock market occurred in a time interval that constitutes less than 14% of the annual calendar:




Dow Jones Industrial Average: Worst Single-Day Declines

(Dow Jones Industrial Average, percentage change)



 
Percentage
Date Decline
__________________________________________
October 19, 1987 -22.61%
October 28, 1929 -12.82%
October 29, 1929 -11.73%
November 6, 1929 -9.92%
December 18, 1899 -8.72%
August 12, 1932 -8.40%
March 14, 1907 -8.29%
October 26, 1987 -8.04%
October 15, 2008 -7.87%
July 21, 1933 -7.84%
October 18, 1937 -7.75%
December 1, 2008 -7.70%
October 9, 2008 -7.33%
February 1, 1917 -7.24%
October 27, 1997 -7.16%
October 5, 1932 -7.15%
September 17, 2001 -7.13%
September 24, 1931 -7.07%
July 20, 1933 -7.07%
September 29, 2008 -6.98%


More specifically, as discovered by market analyst Chris Carolan, the tendency is for panics to climax into around the 28th day of the 7th month on the annual lunar calendar, which is equivalent to Tishrei 26 on the lunar-based Hebrew calendar:





Note that during the autumn financial panic in 2008, when the current economic crisis kicked off, the implied volatility index, which is a gauge of overall fear on Wall Street, climaxed into the 28th day of the 7th lunar month:





This phenomenon can be more accurately ascertained by looking up the dates of key panic climaxes (including maximum DEFCON nuclear alerts in October of 1962 and 1973) using a lunar-based Hebrew calendar converter:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618

24 September 1869 = Black Friday in 1869 = 19th of Tishrei, 5630

29 October 1929 = 1929 Stock Market Crash = 25th of Tishrei, 5690

26 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 28th of Tishrei, 5723

Wed, 24 October 1973 = Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War = 28th of Tishrei, 5734

Mon, 19 October 1987 = 1987 Black Monday Crash = 26th of Tishrei, 5748

Fri, 13 October 1989 = 1989 Friday the 13th Crash = 14th of Tishrei, 5750

Tue, 28 October 1997 = 1997 Asian Financial Crisis = 27th of Tishrei, 5758

Fri, 24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5769


As can be seen above, the tendency is for mass panics to climax in the second half of Tishrei and into Tishrei 25-28 specifically. Typically the acute phase of mass panic begins after the full moon in the 7th lunar month, i.e., around Tishrei 15.

What about this year?

The full moon occurs on September 23rd and Tishrei 25-28 will take place between October 3rd and October 6th. Thus, we are now about to enter the time of year most vulnerable to mass hysterias. Notably, this full moon will coincide with an alignment of Uranus, Jupiter, the Earth, the Sun and Saturn, all squared by Pluto, with the September 22nd Autumnal equinox (keep in mind the summer "Cardinal Climax" as well):



While historically autumnal panics have taken the form of financial crises, one might note above that the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and October 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War, the two points in history when the world came closest to an all-out East-West conflict as measured by NORAD's DEFCON nuclear alert level, occurred in the context of the typical seasonal pattern for mass panics. In 1962 the highest DEFCON status was reached on October 26th, or Tishrei 28. In 1973, the highest DEFCON nuclear alert was reached on October 24th, or Tishrei 28 as well in that year. (Tishrei 28 is October 6th this year.)

Some might not see the connection between financial crises and geopolitical crises, but it is clear that one exists. Consider, for instance, how reversals from psychologically important thousand marks in the DJIA have correlated with geopolitical "shocks".

One of the most clear-cut examples of this occurred with the October 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War when, upon retesting the "Magic 1000" mark, the DJIA turned down in connection with the outbreak of war in the Middle East. What followed was an OPEC oil embargo against the West and a severe contraction in the global economy precipitating a 40%+ decline in stock prices in the ensuing months:



On July 16th and 17th of 1990, the DJIA closed at 2999.75 two days in a row, not closing above the psychologically important 3000 mark until the following year. Just as the DJIA reached the 3000 mark, Saddam Hussein gave a speech threatening Kuwait on what was then Iraq's President Day honoring the date of the coup that brought the former Iraqi dictator to power. That weekend, Iraq started massing troops on Kuwait triggering a 5% reversal in the DJIA from the 3000 mark. Then, on August 2nd, Iraq invaded Kuwait causing the Persian Gulf Crisis, a spike in oil prices and a 20%+ drop in the DJIA by October of that year. Thus, the reversal in mass emotion associated with failing at Dow 3000 in the summer of 1990 manifested as Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and the beginning of what would be a prolonged struggle with Saddam Hussein.



In early-September of 2001, the DJIA reversed below Dow 10,000....THEN 9/11 occurred precipitating a 20% drop in the stock market:



The 'psychological barrier phenomenon' associated with thousand marks in the DJIA is profound corroborating evidence that deterministic cyclical swings in mass mood, i.e., Elliott Waves, are some sort of hidden engine behind human history:



As I've been warning in this blog since the stock market reversed in late-April, we are now likely in the midst of what I've dubbed the "Apocalypse Wave" according to the Elliott Wave Principle.


What does this mean?

Hopefully nothing.

However, a reasonable assessment of the available information is that, given man's somewhat predictable patterns of emotional and mental instability, there is the distinct possibility our species will suffer an acute mass panic, possibly involving global nuclear war, over the next couple of weeks.

I deeply pray I'm wrong, but it's fairly obvious that man as a species is literally demon-possessed, and, from what I can tell, I'm here to rid man of his demons. This is not a role I want, but clearly someone has to do it or there'd be no hope at all.

God have mercy on us all...

Friday, September 10, 2010

Russia Was Behind 9/11

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If you are serious about the global war, let us try and think strategically. The most important strategic target in that war is the Kremlin. That is not only the best way to start winning it, but, as far as I can see, the only way. Paraphrasing Alexander (Litvinenko), we can say it is impossible to destroy international terrorism even in a century unless you disband the Russian secret services first.

- Pavel Stroilov, a Russian exile in London and the editor and translator of Alexander Litvinenko’s book, Allegations, The Putin-Osama Connection, FrontPage Magazine, 1/16/08


September 11, 2001 was directly rooted in a joint Soviet/Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) operation conceived in the aftermath of the 1967 Six-Day Arab-Israeli War. The object of this joint operation was to repair Moscow's prestige by turning the Islamic world against Israel and by creating a rabid and violent hatred for its main supporter, the United States. The strategy was to portray the US, this land of freedom, as a Nazi-style "imperial-Zionist country" financed by Jewish money and run by a rapacious "Council of the Elders of Zion" (the Kremlin's epithet for the US Congress), the aim of which was allegedly to transform the rest of the world into a Jewish fiefdom. In other words, the heart of the joint plan was to convert the historical Arab and Islamic hatred of the Jews into a new hatred of the United States. We threw many millions of dollars at this gigantic task, which involved whole armies of intelligence officers.

- Ion Mihai Pacepa, former acting chief of Communist Romania’s espionage service, From Russia With Terror, FrontPage Magazine, 3/1/04



Mohammed Atta, the pilot of the first plane to crash into the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001, had met with a senior Iraqi intelligence agent in Prague, Czech Republic, five months before the attack. But Iraqi intelligence was just a client of Russia's intelligence service. It brings a new understanding to the fact that President Putin was the first foreign President to call President Bush on 9/11. One may conjecture that he knew in advance what was to happen.

- Konstantin Preobrazhensky, former Lt. Colonel in the KGB who defected to the United States in 1993, "Russia and Islam are not Separate: Why Russia backs Al-Qaeda"



I do not know how or when World War Three will start. I do not know exactly how the Soviet high command plans to make use of spetsnaz in that war: the first world war in which spetsnaz will be a major contributor. I do not wish to predict the future. In this chapter I shall describe how spetsnaz will be used at the beginning of that war as I imagine it. It is not my task to describe what will happen. But I can describe what might happen.

....

The plane takes off and disappears into the sky....The plane climbs to about 200 metres and immediately begins to descend in the direction of the White House. A minute later a mighty explosion shakes the capital of the United States. The screaming of sirens on police cars, fire engines and ambulances fills the city.

Three minutes later a second plane sweeps across the centre of the city and there is a second explosion in the place where the White House once stood...


- From GRU defector Viktor Suvorov's 1987 book, Spetsnaz. The Story Behind the Soviet SAS, Chapter 15: "Spetsnaz's First World War"



"In this man's heart (Osama bin Laden) you'll find an insistence, a strange determination that he will reach one day the tunnels of the White House and will bomb it with everything that is in it.....with the seriousness of the Bedouin of the desert about the way he will try to bomb the Pentagon after he destroys the White House....the revolutionary bin Laden is insisting very convincingly that he will strike America on the arm that is already hurting ('93 WTC Bombing?). That the man....will curse the memory of Frank Sinatra every time he hears his songs." (A reference to Sinatra's "New York, New York"?)

- From the Iraqi publication Al-Nasiriya: July 21, 2001 (Noted in the Wall Street Journal, "Saddam and the Next 9/11", 2/14/03)



"The KGB was engaged in terrorism for many years, and mass terrorism. At the special department of the KGB they trained terrorists from practically every country in the world. These courses lasted, as a rule, for a half-year. Specially trained and prepared agents of the KGB organized murders and explosions, including explosions of tankers, the hijacking of passenger airliners, strikes on diplomatic, state and commercial organizations worldwide."

- Assassinated FSB defector Alexander Litvinenko (Jeff Nyquist's "Is Al Qaeda a Kremlin Proxy?", 8/13/05)



The right hand of bin Laden, the Number Two in 'Al-Qaeda', was trained at the secret base of the Russian secret services on Caucasus, the former Lieutenant Colonel of the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) Alexander Litvinenko told the Polish Rzeczpospolita newspaper.

- Assassinated FSB defector Alexander Litvinenko (Russian Secret Services' Links With Al-Qaeda, 7/18/95, AxisGlobe.com)



In the Mideast, one of the KGB's star recruits was Wadi Haddad, the deputy leader and head of foreign operations of the Marxist-Leninist Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP). In 1970, the KGB made him an agent, according to files delivered to British intelligence by Vasili Mitrokhin, a former KGB archivist who defected to the U.K. in 1992. The most dramatic terrorist strike organized by Haddad was the Sept. 6, 1970 attack on four airliners bound for New York. The hijacking attempt on an El Al Boeing 707 departing from Tel Aviv failed after one of the two terrorists was shot by an air marshal. The other three airlines were successfully diverted to other landing strips by the hijackers. The passengers and crew of a Pan Am Boeing 747 were evacuated and the plane was blown up; in the other two cases, the terrorists negotiated prisoner swaps. (Those were more innocent pre-9/11 times.) Thanks to the Mitrokhin files, we know that the KGB provided arms to Haddad, and it is a fair assumption that his handlers were aware of his plans.

- Boris Volodarsky, Terror's KGB Roots, 11/23/07, WSJ



Tomorrow is the 9th anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks that so galvanized America to take a stand against the perceived enemy of "Islamofascism" thus leading to the War On Terror and the subsequent U.S. invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq.

But did we get it right?

The inconvenient truth is that "The Old Enemy" responsible for 9/11 remains unrecognized.

On 9/11, the World Trade Center towers were destroyed and the Pentagon seriously damaged. These were ultimate symbols of American "Capitalism" and "Imperialism" in the eyes of the Communist powers-of-old and for this attack to occur in an underhanded manner such that Islamic militants were blamed rather than the Kremlin would be a source of great pride for Russia's secret services. (That the Jews and America itself are blamed for 9/11 by so many is an even larger feather in their cap!)

Notably, 9/11 is the birthday of KGB founder Felix Dzerzhinsky:



- WHO IS KHALID SHEIKH MOHAMMED? -

"I am the mastermind of 9/11, not Osama bin Laden." - Khalid Sheikh Mohammed



As repeatedly addressed in my articles and this blog, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the mastermind of 9/11 and virtually all the terrorism against America that has been attributed to Al Qaeda, is likely not who he claims to be.

In July of last year the following image of Khalid Mohammed was released:


In his 2007 military tribunal, Khalid says "Yes" to 31 stated confessions including responsiblity for the 9/11 attacks (from A to Z) and the first terrorist attempt to destroy the World Trade Center towers in 1993:

BEGIN DETAINEE ORAL STATEMENT

Yes.

And I want to add some of this one just for some verification. It like some operations before I join al Qaida. Before I remember al Qaida which is related to Bojinka Operation I went to destination involve to us in 94, 95. Some Operations which means out of al Qaida. It's like beheading Daniel Pearl. It's not related to al Qaida. It was shared in Pakistani. Other group, Mujahadeen. The story of Daniel Pearl, because he stated for the Pakistanis, group that he was working with the both. His mission was in Pakistan to track about Richard Reed trip to Israel. Richard Reed, do you have trip? You send it Israel to make set for targets in Israel. His mission in Pakistan from Israeli intelligence, Mosad, to make interview to ask about when he was there. Also, he mention to them he was both. He have relation with CIA people and were the Mosad. But he was not related to al Qaida at all or UBL. It is related to the Pakistan Mujahadeen group. Other operations mostly are some word I'm not accurate in saying. I'm responsible but if you read the heading history. The line there [Indicating to Personal Representative a place or Exhibit D-c].
(source | some KSM tribunal audio)

The real Khalid Sheikh Mohammed was born on April 14th, 1965 (per his Kuwaiti Interior Ministry files) and grew up in Kuwait. Between 1983 and 1986, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed studied in the U.S. and received a college degree in mechanical engineering. As Time magazine reported regarding KSM : "His English is flawless, and his intelligence formidable. He raced through an engineering degree at the North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University in Greensboro in just two and a half years, graduating in 1986".

Here's the problem.

If Khalid Mohammed was born in 1965, then last July he was 44 years-old. Does the man above look 44 years-old? Here's an image of KSM just after he was captured in Pakistan in March of 2003 when he should have been 37 years-old:


(Sammy) Zitawi, who is a now a small businessman in Greensboro, says his (college) friend, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, was one of the stars. "This guy was funny, he could make you laugh," he said. "He could make fun out of anything."

Zitawi said the disheveled, balding Khalid Sheikh Mohammed who was photographed right after his capture in Pakistan looked nothing like what he remembered. The Khalid Sheikh Mohammed he knew was a small man, just 5-foot-4 and maybe 135 pounds. "He had a cute face with a beard. He had a long hair back then. That's why I didn't know him when he had less hair and no beard. They were talking Khalid Mohammed, I knew him as Khalid Sheikh."

- NPR, "Khalid Sheikh Mohammed's Isolated U.S. College Days", 11/18/2009

Furthermore, if Khalid's English was known to be flawless, why is the language from his confession above so tortured? I have a hard time believing anybody who speaks such atrocious English could graduate from an American college, never mind on an accelerated basis.

The truth of the matter IMO is that the real Khalid Sheikh Mohammed was killed, along with his extended family, when Iraq occupied Kuwait in 1990. These identities were then handed to highly-skilled terrorist operatives from Baluchistan that were used to carry out the major acts of terrorism against the U.S. that were attributed to Al Qaeda.


[Mural found in Iraq shortly after the 2003 invasion]


Dr. Laurie Mylroie has been trying to present this case to America for years to no avail:


Read, for instance, her American Spectator article, Al Qaeda's Hidden Roots.

Short and to the point, Laurie quickly zeroes in on how a mysterious family from Baluchistan has overseen almost all the major terrorist attacks against America starting with the World Trade Center bombing in 1993 and culminating in 9/11. Indeed, Osama bin Laden and al Qaeda are almost a footnote to what this family has done.

As I've highlighted before, you can easily establish how America and the world has fallen victim to black-ops by professionally trained terrorists using false identities by comparing the DNA of the various members from this Baluch family terrorist network that have thus far been captured, e.g., Ramzi Yousef (AKA Abdul Basit and the '93 WTC bombing mastermind), Basit's uncle Khalid Mohammed and the 9/11 mastermind, Ammar al-Baluchi (aka Ali Abdul Aziz Ali) - Khalid Mohammed's "other nephew" and right-hand man (the 9/11 paymaster) and Abdul Karim - Ramzi Yousef's supposed brother. If you compare the DNA between these guys, I'm sure you'll find they aren't even directly related. They are simply skilled Baluchi terrorist operatives trained by the KGB and Saddam's Mukhabarrat and handed useful false identities from a Western-travelled family from Kuwait (to facilitate unimpeded travel in the West by terrorist operatives) that ceased to exist when Iraq occupied the Kuwaiti emirate in 1990/91.

(Interestingly, upon her insistence, I met Dr. Mylroie on March 1st, 2003 for lunch at the Pentagon City Ritz-Carlton to discuss my supposition that KSM was using a false identity. Before I headed down from my hotel room, news broke of his arrest on CNN and I actually informed her of it.)



The only key point where I and Laurie differ is on who is ultimately behind the terrorism directed at America to-date. Iraqi intelligence may have usurped key Baluchi terrorists during the Iran/Iraq War in the 1980s and later used them to underhandedly seek vengeance against the U.S. for the first Gulf War, but it is doubtful the this could have been done without the involvement of Russia's intelligence services. These highly-skilled terrorists were trained by the KGB, which built the Baluch resistance groups during Russia's occupation of Afghanistan during the 1980s. [READ Dr. Mylroie's The Baluch Connection: Is Khalid Sheikh Mohammed tied to Baghdad?.] From Pakistan: Unveiling the Mystery of Balochistan Insurgency:

We consulted Sasha and Misha, two former KGB officers who are Afghanists – the veterans of Russo-Afghan war – and they seem to know Balochistan better than most Pakistanis. Obviously, Sasha and Misha are not their real names. They live on the same street in one of the quieter suburbs of Moscow. Two bonds tie them together in their retirement: While on active duty in KGB, they were both frequent travelers to Balochistan during the Russo-Afghan war where they were tasked to foment trouble in Pakistan; and they are both wary of Vodka, the mandatory nectar of Russian cloak and dagger community. They visit each other almost every day and that is why it was easy to catch them together for long chats over quantities of green tea and occasional bowls of Borsch.

We made more than a dozen visits to the single-bedroom flat of Misha, where Sasha was also found more often than not, and we picked their brains on Balochistan situation. As and when we unearthed new information on Balochistan, we returned to Sasha and Misha for comments.

As they told us, during the Russo-Afghan war, the Soviet Union was surprised by the ability and resourcefulness of Pakistan to generate a quick and effective resistance movement in Afghanistan. To punish Pakistan and to answer back in the same currency, Kremlin decided to create some organizations that would specialize in sabotage activities in Pakistan. One such organization was BLA (Balochistan Liberation Army), the brainchild of KGB that was built around the core of BSO (Baloch Students Organization). BSO was a group of assorted left-wing students in Quetta and some other cities of Balochistan.

Misha and Sasha can be considered among the architects of the original BLA.

Iraq's intelligence service, the Mukhabarrat, which was created by the KGB, would have been behind establishing the false identities ('legends') for these terrorists from a Kuwait-based family eliminated in 1990/91. KSM and 'family' then served the vengeful purposes of Baghdad (e.g., the '93 WTC bombing occurred on the 2nd anniversary of Kuwait's liberation from Iraqi occupation)....but these terrorists also served the purposes of Russian intelligence services who have long sought to engage in "Grey Terror" using Islamic extremists that could not be traced back to Moscow. Taking down the WTC Towers and striking the Pentagon were the most symbolic blows imaginable against American capitalism and imperialism....something our communist foes-of-old would revel in. To have achieved this in a way completely delinked from apparent responsibility would be a tremendous achievement for Russia's intelligence services.

If you find it difficult to believe that Russia would be behind terrorist operations against the West, I suggest you consider what FSB defector Alexander Litvinenko had to say about Al Qaeda and Ayman al Zawahiri, al Qaeda's supposed #2 leader and the effective operational leader of this now infamous international terrorist network (see quotes above). Indeed, many believe Osama bin Laden is simply a figurehead of al Qaeda (who may be dead), and that it is Zawahiri who is really running the show. Litvinenko, who was assassinated by Russian secret services with radioactive Polonium in 2006 (I ran the Litvinenko Chronicles before he was murdered), pointed out that Ayman al Zawahiri was trained by the KGB and that Al Qaeda is a Kremlin proxy being used to strike the West underhandedly. This is also the opinion of other key defectors from Russian intelligence such as Ion Pacepa, ex-chief of Romanian intelligence, and Stanislav Lunev, the highest ranking defector from the GRU, Russia's military intelligence service.

From The Spectator, "Moscow's Jihadi" (2011 update):

What do we know about the new head of al-Qaeda, Ayman al-Zawahiri?

Not very much. We know he`s a former `emir` of the Egyptian Islamic Jihad who spent three years in an Egyptian prison after his group assassinated the pro-western President Anwar Sadat. He`s also said to be a qualified surgeon, who became bin Laden`s personal physician and adviser in the late 1980s.

But there is one curious fact about him that it would be foolish for the West to ignore: his links with the KGB, and its successor, Russia`s Federal Security Service, or FSB.

It was Alexander Litvinenko, the rebel FSB officer assassinated with radioactive material in London in 2006, who named al-Zawahiri as `Moscow`s man in al-Qaeda`. In a interview following the 7 July 2005 attacks in London, he claimed that the future al-Qaeda chief had stayed in an FSB training centre in Dagestan, in the North Caucasus, in 1998.

`He took a six-month special training course there. Then he was sent to Afghanistan, where he had never been before. Immediately after that, under supervision of his FSB bosses, he penetrated bin Laden`s entourage and soon became his deputy in al-Qaeda . . . I saw those officers from the FSB directorate for Dagestan, who had been training al-Zawahiri shortly before, being reassigned to Moscow and getting promotions.`



- RUSSIAN FOREKNOWLEDGE OF 9/11 -

There seems to be little doubt that Russian intelligence had foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks in the U.S.

In August of 2001, Russians were warned by Pravda and other major Kremlin-run news outlets to get out of dollars in anticipation of a coming financial attack against America.

The day after 9/11, Izvestia reported the following:

September 12, 2001 (14:15) Yesterday at the headquarters of Central Intelligence Service in Langley a confidential meeting between one of the Deputy Directors of CIA and a special messenger of Russian Intelligence Service took place. According to NewsRu sources he delivered to his American colleagues some documents including audio tapes with telephone conversations directly relating to terrorist attacks on Washington and New York last Tuesday. According to these sources, Russian Intelligence agents know the organizers and executors of these terrorist attacks. More than that, Moscow warned Washington about preparation to these actions a couple of weeks before they happened.

In May of 2002, Fox News reported:

Russian President Vladimir Putin has said publicly that he ordered his intelligence agencies to alert the United States last summer that suicide pilots were training for attacks on U.S. targets.

Given that Moscow had the inside scoop that "suicide pilots were training for attacks on U.S. targets", why would have they gone ahead with the following potentially diversionary air drill the day before 9/11?

- MASSIVE RUSSIAN AIR EXERCISES DIVERTED NORAD'S ATTENTION ON 9/11 -

NORAD and U.S. air defenses were distracted by an extraordinarily large and highly provocative air-exercise by Russia toward North American air space on the morning of 9/11:

NORAD Maintains Northern Vigilance

Sept. 9, 2001

CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN AFS, Colo. – The North American Aerospace Defense Command shall deploy fighter aircraft as necessary to Forward Operating Locations (FOLS) in Alaska and Northern Canada to monitor a Russian air force exercise in the Russian arctic and North Pacific ocean.

“NORAD is the eyes and ears of North America and it is our mission to ensure that our air sovereignty is maintained,” said Lieutenant-General Ken Pennie, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of NORAD. “Although it is highly unlikely that Russian aircraft would purposely violate Canadian or American airspace, our mission of vigilance must be sustained.”

NORAD-allocated forces will remain in place until the end of the Russian exercise.

From NTI, September 2001:

Maneuvers to simulate defense against a large-scale airspace attack began on 10 September 2001. According to Air Force chief Anatoliy Kornukov, they were intended to cover the whole Arctic, as well as northern parts of the Pacific and the Atlantic oceans, including the vicinity of Norway, Iceland, the United States, Canada, and Great Britain. The main task was reportedly to penetrate the air defense of NATO and North America (NORAD). As part of the exercise, long-range bombers were moved to auxiliary bases in Anadyr, Tiksi, and Vorkuta. A new element of these maneuvers was, according to newspaper reports, training for the use of long-range ALCMs outside the reach of NORAD (since Russia has had long-range nuclear ALCMs since the 1980s, apparently these reports meant conventional ALCMs, which began to appear in the Russian Armed Forces only in the late 1990s).

From Aviation Week & Space Technology, 6/3/2002:

On Sept. 11, Norad's radars were spread around the periphery of the U.S., looking outward for potential invaders. Inside U.S. borders, very few radars were feeding NEADS (Northeast Air Defense Sector) scopes. In essence, technicians were half-blind...

From The Washington Times, 9/11/01:

Russian warplanes threatened patrolling U.S. Navy P-3 aircraft over the Pacific Ocean last week as the American planes monitored a military exercise in the region, The Washington Times has learned.

At one point during the aerial harassment, a MiG-31 interceptor pilot flew his jet within 50 feet of a P-3 maritime patrol and reconnaissance plane.

The incident was similar to a Chinese aerial intercept that resulted in a collision earlier this year.

One alarming sign of the Russian intercept was a radio message sent by one MiG-31 pilot to his base stating his fire-control radar had "locked on" to the U.S. surveillance plane, U.S. intelligence officials said. A radar "lock" is a pilot's final step before firing a guided missile.

"It was a threatening action," said one official.

.....


Meanwhile, Russian strategic air forces began a major exercise in the northern Pacific yesterday. The maneuvers will include practice missile attacks, Russia's official Itar-Tass news agency reported.

Strategic Tu-160 Blackjack and Tu-95 Bear bombers and Tu-22 and IL-78 tanker aircraft reportedly will take part. The exercises are set to continue until Friday.

In response to the war games, the Air Force announced on Sunday that it is sending additional fighter aircraft "as necessary" to Alaska and northern Canada to monitor the exercises.

"Norad is the eyes and ears of North America, and it is our mission to ensure that our air sovereignty is maintained," said Air Force Lt. Gen. Ken Pennie, deputy commander in chief of Norad.

"Although it is highly unlikely that Russian aircraft would purposely violate Canadian or American airspace, our mission of vigilance must be sustained," the North American Aerospace Defense Command (Norad) statement said.

The statement said the additional U.S. jets would remain at two bases in Alaska and one in Canada until the end of the Russian exercises.

The Russian air drill toward North America that started the day before 9/11, the first of such scale up to that point since the Soviet Union had collapsed a decade beforehand, might have been timed to constrain U.S. responsiveness to the hijacked airliner attacks that occurred. Russia may have engaged in highly provocative maneuvers in the Pacific the week before 9/11 and a massive air exercise to the north as the attacks unfolded so that NORAD and U.S. air defenses would be distracted.

- MOSCOW'S MOTIVE -

As for why no major terrorism has occurred against the U.S. since 9/11, I believe the answer is simple. America was being lured into military action in the Islamic world by the 9/11 attacks. Moscow's strategic objective has therefore been achieved.

From Ion Pacepa, the highest-ranking intelligence official ever to have defected from the former Eastern Bloc of the Soviet Union:

In 1972, the Kremlin decided to turn the whole Islamic world against Israel and the U.S. As KGB chairman Yury Andropov told me, a billion adversaries could inflict far greater damage on America than could a few millions. We needed to instill a Nazi-style hatred for the Jews throughout the Islamic world, and to turn this weapon of the emotions into a terrorist bloodbath against Israel and its main supporter, the United States. No one within the American/Zionist sphere of influence should any longer feel safe.

According to Andropov, the Islamic world was a waiting petri dish in which we could nurture a virulent strain of America-hatred, grown from the bacterium of Marxist-Leninist thought. Islamic anti-Semitism ran deep. The Muslims had a taste for nationalism, jingoism, and victimology. Their illiterate, oppressed mobs could be whipped up to a fever pitch.

Terrorism and violence against Israel and her master, American Zionism, would flow naturally from the Muslims’ religious fervor, Andropov sermonized. We had only to keep repeating our themes — that the United States and Israel were “fascist, imperial-Zionist countries” bankrolled by rich Jews. Islam was obsessed with preventing the infidels’ occupation of its territory, and it would be highly receptive to our characterization of the U.S. Congress as a rapacious Zionist body aiming to turn the world into a Jewish fiefdom. [Pacepa, National Review, 8/24/06]

Now the U.S. is isolated on the world stage and popularly deemed to be an imperialist warmonger spearheading the forces of "Zionism". Thus, we are ripe for thermonuclear picking by "The Old Enemy", as is the plan.



"War to the hilt between Communism and Capitalism is inevitable. Today, of course, we are not strong enough to attack. Our time will come in 20 or 30 years. To win, we shall need the element of surprise. The bourgeoisie will have to be put to sleep. So we shall begin by launching the most spectacular peace movement on record. There will be electrifying overtures and unheard-of concessions. The capitalistic countries, stupid and decadent, will rejoice to cooperate in their own destruction. They will leap at another chance to be friends. As soon as their guard is down, we will smash them with our clenched fist."

- Dimitry Z. Manuilsky, Soviet Chairman of U.N. Security Council, 1949


If you follow the trail of evidence presented above, the harsh reality you will find is that the case I'm presenting is true. Yet, no matter how compelling the evidence and the arguments presented, the vast majority will simply refuse to believe the truth and continue to "cooperate in their own destruction".

Why is this?

ALSO SEE MY APRIL 2010 POST: "We know who staged Moscow metro attack - Russia's intelligence chief"

Monday, September 06, 2010

50/50 chance of survival through the Autumn?

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Examined the key data this evening and I put the odds of Western Civilization surviving intact through the Autumn at 50/50. It's a long and sordid tale as to why this is the case, but I'll leave it at the common realization that man as a species is insane and a danger to itself and the world we inhabit. Planning an October vacation in the South Pacific might not be out of place. I've almost run out of money, but will try to accumulate some October VIX calls for insurance, not that anyone seems interested in self-preservation at this point (including myself!), but I just don't know what else to do at this point. No one has ever helped me to help them to save ourselves, so I guess we're all just dead.



Read my thesis epilogue:



See Elliott Wave International:





Examine Chris Carolan's insights:







Remember what Arch Crawford outlined regarding the "Cardinal Climax":




Consider Anatoliy Golitsyn's "Final Phase" warning to the West:



There's not much time left, folks. Enjoy what you can while you can in terms of spending quality time with those you love since loving others, after all, is what life is supposed to be about. How mankind so badly misses the point is beyond me.
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