Wednesday, August 28, 2013

We're obviously entering a very dangerous period...

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For those who are familiar with my train of thought and/or have read my Thesis, "Manic-Depressive Man", a sense of apocalyptic foreboding is inescapable at this point.

First off, precisely in conjunction with Secretary of State Kerry's August 26th bellicose speech regarding possible Western military action against Syria, the DJIA reversed sharply below the psychologically important 15000 mark:



As I've long been pointing out, reversals from psychologically important thousand marks in the DJIA tend to coincide with major plunges in stock prices, sometimes in "reaction" to geopolitical shocks like the 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War, Iraq's July 1990 invasion of Kuwait and 9/11.








Meanwhile, in terms of the seasonality of man's manic-depressive mass mood swings, we are entering the annual period when the world is most prone to major "panics" and the onset of social depressions.


Typically, these panics take a financial form such as the 1929, 1987 and 2008 stock market crashes, but they also can take the form of apocalyptic scares like the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, the October 1973 Arab-Israeli War, and 9/11 and the subsequent Anthrax mailings.

My work is drawn from an award-winning 1998 article written by Chris Carolan, Autumn Panics: A Calendar Phenomenon, which points out the tendency for financial panics to climax into the 28th day of the 7th month on the annual lunar calendar:






I took Carolan's discovery a step further utilizing the lunar-based Hebrew calendar. What I found is the tendency is for mass panics to develop in between the full moon and new moon in the second half of the 7th month on the lunar calendar which is generally equivalent to the period between Tishrei 15 and Tishrei 30 on the Hebrew calendar (usually late-October on the Gregorian calendar). During this Hebrew calendar window, the following major "panics" took place:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618

24 September 1869 = Black Friday in 1869 = 19th of Tishrei, 5630

29 October 1929 = 1929 Stock Market Crash = 25th of Tishrei, 5690

26 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 28th of Tishrei, 5723

24 October 1973 = Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War = 28th of Tishrei, 5734

19 October 1987 = 1987 Black Monday Crash = 26th of Tishrei, 5748

13 October 1989 = 1989 Friday the 13th Crash = 14th of Tishrei, 5750

27 October 1997 = 1997 Asian Financial Crisis = 26th of Tishrei, 5758

24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5769

Note that I've included in the list above the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and October 1973 Arab/Israeli Yom Kippur War since, while not reflected in major stock market crashes, these historical crises were still effectively mass panics. This was signified on both occasions by the fact that the highest DEFCON nuclear alerts ever were reached during these crises, actually peaking right into the same time frame of the 7th lunar month as when the stock market crashes in 1929 and 1987 climaxed.

In 2013, Tishrei 25-26 on the Hebrew calendar will fall on September 29-30 on the Gregorian calendar. Thus, we are now entering the period when mass panics tend to kick-off according to mass mood seasonality. If a mass panic develops, it may climax into late-September as the historical pattern suggests. The period of greatest danger, i.e., when an epic "crash" (upset of collective beliefs and expecations) could occur in the form of a surprise nuclear third world war, should be after the full moon in September going into the new moon in October between 9/19 and 10/4.

With regard to this historical pattern, I think it's important to note the relevance of Elul 29 on the Hebrew calendar. This is the last day of the year for Jews. As uncovered by Jonathan Cahn, author of "The Harbinger", on this important date on the Hebrew calendar during the last two "Sabbatical Years" which occurred in 2000-2001 and 2007-2008, there were major panics on Wall Street. In 2001, this was in "reaction" to 9/11. In 2008, this was in response to the financial crisis of that year. Chris Carolan, in his article linked to above, notes that the stock market crash of 1873 occurred into the 28th day of the 6th lunar month that year, which is equivalent to Elul 26-27 in that year on the Hebrew calendar.

The Crash of 1873.

September 18 and 19, 1873 were labeled “Black Thursday” and “Black Friday” in the collapse of 1873. The Friday selling took prices of major stocks 5 to 25% percent below Thursday’s already collapsed levels. This panic was considered the greatest on Wall Street until 1929. The news accounts describe the same type of free fall and despair as the 20th century counterparts. The annual lunar calendar dates of “Black Thursday” and “Black Friday” were 6-27 and 6-28, one month earlier, but exactly the same lunar days as the 20th century examples. News accounts describe a temporary bottom late on Friday. Saturday, September 20 brought renewed selling and the closure of the exchange after a shortened two-hour trading day. The stock exchange remained closed for a week thereafter. Though on Monday September 22 prices rose sharply in trading in the streets. The timing of the 1873 Autumn panic is consistent with the 20th century results, though exactly one month earlier,

Elul 26-29 on the Hebrew calendar is equivalent to September 1-4 in 2013. Might a mass panic hit early this year?

This certainly seems distinctly possible given the developing crisis concerning Syria. On August 21st, Bashar Assad's regime unleashed a Sarin gas attack on the outskirts of Damascus that killed hundreds. Since this overstepped the "red line" painted by President Obama a year earlier, there are now strong indications that the Western powers are about to strike Syria militarily. What could unfold as a result of a Western attack on Syria? I believe that could be what I foresaw more than two decades ago as I was learning about the Elliott Wave Principle of stock price movements: a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel and subsequent global nuclear war.







Let's hope and pray I'm wrong once again...

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

No Fate But What We Make?

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ALSO SEE: The Harbinger & The Assyrians



Is there 'no fate but what we make'?



What do you do when you're born into a species that's too insane and self-destructive to realize it's completely insane and heading to self-destruction?

On the anniversary of Barack Obama drawing a "red line" with Bashar Assad's regime over using chemical weapons, Syria unleashes a vicious Sarin gas attack on rebels killing hundreds:





What's more, Syria made this move days after a U.N. team arrived in Damascus to investigate prior potential chemical attacks in the country, and the site of the attack on August 21st just happened to be a few miles from the hotel where the U.N. investigators were headquartered:

Mr Assad has been advancing recently, beating back the rebels and recapturing territory. Using chemical weapons might make sense when he is losing, but why launch gas attacks when he is winning anyway?

Moreover, United Nations inspectors charged with discovering the truth about chemical weapons in Syria arrived in Damascus on Sunday. Superficially, it would seem strange for the regime to gas its enemies within 72 hours of letting these experts into the country. [UK Telegraph]

The timing and location of the reported chemical weapons use - just three days after the team of U.N. chemical experts checked in to a Damascus hotel a few km (miles) to the east at the start of their mission - was surprising.

"It would be very peculiar if it was the government to do this at the exact moment the international inspectors come into the country," said Rolf Ekeus, a retired Swedish diplomat who headed a team of UN weapons inspectors in Iraq in the 1990s.

"At the least, it wouldn't be very clever."

Ekeus said the mandate of the U.N. team was limited to three sites but could be amended to investigate fresh claims - which would be simpler to verify than the other months-old cases.

"It is easier to do sampling and testing, and also to look at the victims, if there are sick people or even dead people (on the scene). It is easier to get to doctors and get to the place where the event happened." [Reuters]


Of course, Syria, Russia and anti-Western elements are seeking to blame Syrian rebels for unleashing the attack upon themselves to elicit a Western military strike against Bashar Assad's regime, but there's apparently compelling evidence that government forces were behind the gas attack:

"Everything leads us to believe that the regime carried out this abhorrent act" - French President Francois Hollande

An intelligence report detailing evidence of the alleged attack could be released as early as Tuesday, a U.S. official told CNN. The report will include forensic evidence and intercepted communications among Syrian military commanders, the official said.
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As the Obama Administration now rushes to take military action against Bashar Assad's regime for crossing the President's "red line", an utterly predictable response, does it dawn upon anyone, save me, that this is a colossal strategic trap?

What kind of trap?

It's exactly what I've been warning this ill-fated world about for the past two+ decades: a future chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel that triggers a nuclear third world war now that the Western powers least expect such a full-scale East/West conflict.



Bashar Assad is nothing but a Russian puppet and is doing the Devil's bidding. The reality is that this world is being misled into destruction and subjugation by the "Old Enemy" and there's apparently no 'good men' left to stop the triumph of evil.

"All that is needed for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing." - Edmund Burke


Is there any hope at all?

Not until people believe in Me.

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Possible Chemical Weapons Use In Damascus

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Just as the DJIA reverses from the psychologically important 15000 mark, there are reports that Bashar Assad's forces unleashed a Sarin nerve gas attack in eastern suburbs of Damascus.

(Reuters) - Syria's opposition accused President Bashar al-Assad's forces of gassing many hundreds of people - by one report as many as 1,300 - on Wednesday in what would, if confirmed, be the world's worst chemical weapons attack in decades.



Unlike previous such reports, this one is backed with many YouTube videos showing symptoms consistent with Sarin poisoning:







DEBKA is reporting that this may be Assad's response to an initial entry of U.S.-trained rebels from Jordan:

DEBKAfile reports exclusively that Assad is acting to counter the first organized incursion of US-trained Syrian rebels from Jordan into southern Syria. The first group of 250 rebels, trained in special operations tactics by US and Jordanian instructors, entered Syria Saturday, Aug. 17, armed with weapons of Russian provenance supplied by the US and Saudi Arabia.

They are fighting under US and Jordanian commanders based in the Hashemite Kingdom.

A second group of 300 fighters crossed into Syria from Jordan Monday.

They are linking up with local rebel groups chosen from amongst those with no ties with the jihadist Jabhat al-Nusra (Al Qaeda in Syria).

According to our military sources, the rebel units are advancing at speed along the Syrian-Israeli border. They have forced the Syrian brigades posted there into retreating from positions inside a strip of 1-25 kilometers from the border, and captured the villages of Raihaniya, Breiqa and Beer Ajam.

This tactic has moved the Syrian army back from the area opposite the Israeli Golan, and started marking out a buffer zone between Israeli and Syrian forces in the Horan province.

Notably, this incident comes as a U.N. team of inspectors arrived in Damascus next to the location of the reported Sarin attack.

Here is BBC's Security Correspondent, Frank Gardner's analysis on this:

Two things stand out immediately in this reported Syrian attack.

Firstly, the timing is odd, bordering on suspicious. Why would the Assad government, which has recently been retaking ground from the rebels, carry out a chemical attack while UN weapons inspectors are in the country?

But secondly, the scale of the apparent casualties is far worse than any of the previous alleged chemical attacks. Experts say it would be almost impossible to fake so many dead and injured, including children and babies. They bear no visible wounds from gunshots; instead, many display the classic symptoms of a nerve agent attack, with startled, frozen expressions that experts say are reminiscent of Saddam Hussein's 1988 attack on the Kurds at Halabja.

As earlier reported by Reuters (and since substantially redacted):

The timing and location of the reported chemical weapons use - just three days after the team of U.N. chemical experts checked in to a Damascus hotel a few km (miles) to the east at the start of their mission - was surprising.

"It would be very peculiar if it was the government to do this at the exact moment the international inspectors come into the country," said Rolf Ekeus, a retired Swedish diplomat who headed a team of UN weapons inspectors in Iraq in the 1990s.

"At the least, it wouldn't be very clever."

Ekeus said the mandate of the U.N. team was limited to three sites but could be amended to investigate fresh claims - which would be simpler to verify than the other months-old cases.

"It is easier to do sampling and testing, and also to look at the victims, if there are sick people or even dead people (on the scene). It is easier to get to doctors and get to the place where the event happened."

What's Bashar Assad, and his Russian puppet master, up to?

Coverage of this story is ongoing HERE.
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