Showing posts with label Arab-Israeli War. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Arab-Israeli War. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 08, 2014

Dow 17000 & World War Three?

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The DJIA peaked out on July 3rd, closing above the psychologically important 17000 mark for the first time in history, and is now reversing course closing below 17K today:


Although I was a little early in calling the peak of Western Civilization in June, it is now starting to appear that the final top is in place.  Immediately with this reversal at Dow 17000 there is news of war erupting between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip.

Last week, three kidnapped Israeli teens were found dead and Hamas started hitting southern Israel with rockets.  Consequently, earlier today Israel initiated a major military campaign against Gaza, dubbed "Operation Protective Edge", and Hamas has responded with an ongoing, expanded missile barrage against southern Israel that has included strikes on Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) has called up 40,000 reservists for a possible ground incursion into Gaza in the face of the growing missile onslaught by Hamas.

As has been highlighted in this blog many, many times, reversals from psychologically important thousand marks in key stock indices like the DJIA are often followed by major geopolitical shocks.

Here's three notable historical examples I often cite.

Between 1966 and 1982, the DJIA went up to the psychologically important "Magic 1000" barrier and reversed course multiple times.  Each major reversal off Dow 1000 involved significant bear markets with the stock market falling 20%+ five times.  Each of these bear markets involved all kinds of negative historical events and trends from the Vietnam War to oil shocks to Watergate.  This included the major reversal in the autumn of 1973 associated with that year's Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War and the subsequent OPEC oil embargo which drove the DJIA down by 40%+ in a year's time and precipitated the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression up to that point.



Likewise, in the summer of 1990 the DJIA reversed from the psychologically important 3000 mark (reaching a closing all-time high that year of 2999.75 on July 16th and July 17th) and fell by 25% by October of that year.  This trend reversal took the form of Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, a significant oil-shock and the 1990 Gulf Crisis which pushed the economy into a recession.



A final profound example occurred in the autumn of 2001 when, just after the DJIA reversed below the psychologically important 10000 mark on September 6th of that year, Wall Street broke hard with the 9/11 terror attacks on the World Trade Center towers and Pentagon:


As for the current juncture, not only is the DJIA reversing from the 17000 milestone, the Dow Jones Composite, NYSE index and German DAX are turning down from the 6000, 11000 and 10000 marks, respectively:





Furthermore, this reversal likely comes in the wake of a historically important Grand Supercycle peak according to the Elliott Wave Principle.  What I believe constitutes the peak of Western Civilization:





In the wake of this peak, we should expect the collapse of Western Civilization.  In fact, the wave patterns that have unfolded indicate that what's most likely to occur is a rapid crash more so than an extended collapse.

What form could this crash take?

Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if the current conflict between Israel and Hamas is leading up to what I foresaw 20+ years ago in my apocalyptic vision: chemical SCUD missiles slamming into Israel followed by a global nuclear war.



IRAQ SAYS 'TERRORISTS' SEIZE CHEMICAL WEAPONS SITE
Jul. 8, 2014 5:43 PM EDT 
UNITED NATIONS (AP) — Iraq has informed the United Nations that the Islamic State extremist group has taken control of a vast former chemical weapons facility northwest of Baghdad where 2,500 chemical rockets filled with the deadly nerve agent sarin or their remnants were stored along with other chemical warfare agents. 
Iraq's U.N. Ambassador Mohamed Ali Alhakim said in a letter to U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon circulated Tuesday that "terrorist" groups entered the Muthanna site June 11 and seized weapons and equipment from the protection force guarding the facility. 
He singled out the capture of bunkers 13 and 41 in the sprawling complex, which according to a 2004 U.N. report also contained the toxic agent sodium cyanide, which is a precursor for the chemical warfare agent tabun, and artillery shells contaminated with mustard gas.
Islamist Syrian rebels reportedly seize Saddam's CBW Scud missiles in Deir el-Zour - via

Does the Islamic State have a Scud missile? | via

ISIS Parades Scud Missile 'Heading Towards Israel' - Middle East - News - Arutz Sheva



God have mercy on our souls...

Friday, February 01, 2013

Dow 14000 & World War Three?

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Today the DJIA closed above the psychologically important 14000 mark for the first time in five years, i.e., since the 2008 financial crisis hit:



We may be in a comparable situation to when the DJIA tested the 1000 mark just before the last major Arab-Israeli War in 1973 and when the Dow brushed up against the 3000 mark right before Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990:





I believe the logic I spelled out regarding "Dow 13000 and World War Three?" applies here all the same (minus seasonality):



In fact, what has formed is a rather ominous "diagonal triangle" that typically marks the end of a major upswing pattern in mass mood:



What's telling is that this Elliott Wave pattern has unfolded into the upper channel line of the rise in stock prices dating back to the Great Depression:





In a prophetic, religious context, think of this as representing the peak of Capitalism and Western Civilization, and the associated mass servitude, worship and "love" (valuation) of Mammon (wealth; greed). Indeed, this is well represented by America's modern-day "Golden Calf", the bronze Charging Bull statue by Wall Street:



[As to why Wall Street's mood swings in Elliott Wave fractal patterns and why seeming exogenous geopolitical shocks are connected to reversals from thousand mark psychological barriers in the DJIA, this is because history unfolds in a fractal pattern which implies that what we are collectively experiencing is holographic in nature. Stock index price patterns reflect the collective emotional response to history as it unfolds. What does this mean? I believe this corroborates the idea that the universe is a four-dimensional hologram etched onto the surface of the three-dimensional space we measure with our senses over time. This image, our story, is (has been?) authored by God, a point well made by how the historical cycles of sin and redemption are so perfectly patterned.]

What will happen in the wake of this peak?

According to the Elliott Wave Principle, a collapse of Grand Supercycle magnitude lies dead ahead that should involve a 99%+ drop in stock prices:



This is what I've dubbed the "Apocalypse Wave", and I believe it projects the fall of America and end of Capitalism..

Thus, I do not believe it is mere coincidence that just as we are topping around Dow 14K, there's news of an Israeli air-strike against Syria that might provoke a military response by Syria and/or Iran and/or Iran's proxy force of Hezbollah in southern Lebanon:

The presumed Israeli airstrike within Syrian territory on Wednesday has elicited threats of retaliation from both Syria and Iran. Syrian Ambassador to Lebanon Ali Abdul-Karim Ali, quoted at al-Ahd, a Hezbollah-run news website, contended that his nation could make “a surprise decision to respond to the aggression of the Israeli warplanes,” adding that ”Syria is engaged in defending its sovereignty and its land.” In Iran, a deputy foreign minister was quoted by English-language Press TV as saying the “strike on Syria will have serious consequences for Tel Aviv.” He did not elaborate. ["Israel Threatened by Syria and Iran", FrontPageMag.com]

Is my apocalyptic vision, which begins with a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel, about to unfold?



I hope and pray not.

God have mercy on our souls...

Friday, November 09, 2012

Extreme Danger Immediately Ahead?

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The stock market continued its downward spiral today in the wake of Tuesday's reelection of Barack Obama. The DJIA and Nasdaq Composite have now decisively broken below the psychologically important 13000 and 3000 marks, respectively. What's more, the DJIA and key S&P500 index have broken below their technically important 200-day moving averages:







In late-September I posted a blog about man's seasonal insanity that highlighted how our species tends to suffer mass panics during the autumn. This blog was drawn from the work of Chris Carolan who discovered the pattern and published an award-winning paper on the subject, Autumn Panics: A Calendar Phenomenon, in 1998. This is relevant at the current juncture in that Carolan is noting that the same pattern in 1929 and 1987 appears to be repeating in 2012 one lunar cycle later than occurred in the previous years of major stock market crashes:



Here's a more recent chart highlighting the parallel pattern between the 1987 stock market crash and what is unfolding in this year:



And another:



The emerging pattern seems to indicate a crash into, or at least around the time of, the total solar eclipse on November 13th this year. This is analogous to the 1929 stock market crash into a solar eclipse on November 1st of that year. (In 1987, the solar eclipse preceded the crash on September 23rd of that year.)

The problem, as I've long been warning, is that the potential scale of an autumn panic this time around is far greater than what was experienced in 1929 and 1987. Robert Prechter, the "Elliott Wave Theorist", has for some time been warning that based upon the fractal-based Elliott Wave pattern, the stock market might be headed for a collapse of epic proportions. Indeed, the long-term chart pattern suggests we just entered what I've dubbed the "Apocalypse Wave" which could involve a 99%+ drop in stock prices:






So does this mean that major stock market crash is about to unfold? If so, why?

This is what I believe God forewarned me about when I suffered an apocalyptic vision in February 1991.

The DJIA just broke decisively below the psychologically important 13000 mark. As noted in my prior blogs, in years past when the DJIA has broken below key thousand mark psychological barriers major historical shocks have erupted such as the 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War, Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait and 9/11:







Similarly, is a major historical shock about to erupt at the current historical juncture? Will this shock come in the form of what I foresaw in February 1991, i.e., a third world war that begins with a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel? Such a potential crisis certainly seems possible at the current juncture given recent news out of the Middle East of a flare-up in the Golan Heights between Syria and Israel as the insurgency in Syria seems to be spreading beyond that nation's borders:

Three Syrian mortar shells struck in and around an Israeli village on the Golan Heights Thursday, marking a significant deterioration of security conditions along the border.

One shell fell in between homes in Moshav Alonei Habashan, but did not explode. Two more hit closer to the border.

“We believe these are stray shells, fired in the midst of internal Syrian fighting,” an IDF spokeswoman said.

No one was injured in the incident, which follows other stray shootings, including Syrian bullets that struck an IDF jeep on patrol last week.

Home Front Defense Minister Avi Dichter said Israel needed “nerves of steel” to deal with the instability in Syria.

Then, of course, there's the possibility that Israel is planning to strike Iran's nuclear sites around the time of the 11/13 new moon/solar eclipse:





God have mercy on our souls...

Thursday, October 11, 2012

NUCLEAR WAR ALERT: Is Israel Preparing For All-Out War Next Week?!

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As those few who follow this blog are aware, I'm a bit on edge at this time regarding the threat of World War Three.  Today there was news that suggests that Israel may be preparing for just such a scenario.  First there was news of Israel deploying Patriot missiles atop Mount Carmel, seemingly to defend Haifa from missile attacks. Now there's news that Israel is planning to conduct a massive civil defense exercise that seems like perfect cover for putting necessary emergency services in place for all-out war next week.

In my September 25th blog, I highlighted how we were entering the season most prone for major global panics to occur.  In 1929 and 1987, this took the form of stock market crashes.  In 1962 and 1973, this took the form of geopolitical crises that brought the world to the brink of nuclear war. As examined in my thesis on Manic Depressive Man, I believe this pattern reveals an underlying "Global Bipolar Disorder" that is shaping human history.  What's more, it's possible this recurrent pattern is foreshadowing a future, nearly suicidal chapter of human history that might unfold during the "Fall".

In this light, my gravest concern is that the world will eventually share my "apocalyptic vision" of a global nuclear war that will begin with a chemical SCUD missile attack on Haifa, Israel.  Could this occur at the current historical juncture?  I'm afraid it's distinctly possible and, disturbingly, Israel seems to think it's possible as well.

My last blog noted news that Israel had placed Patriot missiles atop Mount Carmel overlooking the city of Haifa in northern Israel apparently in response to the Hezbollah's flight of an unmanned drone into Israeli territory last Saturday. This indicates that the IDF is concerned about the possibility of enemy missile strikes on Haifa in the near future.

While this story in and of itself is alarming, the news today of Israel's plan for a massive civil defense exercise, purportedly for an earthquake, is even more troubling.  According to IsraelNationalNews.com:
Israel is planning a huge emergency drill for next week amid speculation and fears that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will order a unilateral strike on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 
The drill tests the country’s ability to cope with an earthquake, and assumes hypothetical mass casualties of 7,000 dead, 70,000 wounded and 170,000 without a home. 
The drill will also include a scenario simulating a toxic chemical leak at the northern coastal port in Haifa. This is the first time a Home Front drill has dealt with a natural disaster scenario as opposed to a war scenario.
Here's what may be telltale.  Why is this "drill" being conducted as a response to an earthquake instead of as a war drill? Was a natural disaster selected as the purpose of the exercise in order to provide some sort of cover? If so, why? That the earthquake scenario involves such unprecedented casualties, i.e., 7000 dead and 70000 wounded, seems a tad odd for Israel which is rarely impacted by seismic disasters.  What's more, the inclusion of simulating a "toxic chemical leak" seems strange, although this would make good sense if the intent is to put emergency services in place to deal with a real world chemical missile barrage on Israel. In other words, this unprecedented Israeli 'Home Front drill' seems geared to have in place and ready-to-go the domestic emergency resources that would respond to retaliation by Iran, Hezbollah, Syria and/or Egypt in the event of an all-out Middle East war that could be triggered by an IDF strike on Iran's nuclear facilities or a like situation.

Buttressing the concern that Israel is about to go to war is news of another massive military exercise scheduled for next week. As the Jerusalem Post reported two days ago:
The US and Israel will commence the largest-ever joint air defense drill of its kind in Israel on October 21, an army source said on Tuesday.

The exercise, named Austere Challenge 12, was originally scheduled for last spring but was postponed due to regional tensions with Iran.

On October 14, large numbers of American soldiers are expected to begin arriving in Israel, where they will set up aerial defense positions on Israeli territory and on US Navy vessels off the Israeli coastline.

The three-week drill will simulate various missile defense scenarios, and is expected to end with a live-fire interception of a decoy incoming Patriot missile.

One of the objectives of the drill is to facilitate the rapid deployment of US missile defense systems to Israel and test their ability to operate in conjunction with Israeli defense systems during a conflict.

Thus, Israel is also about to have all the military equipment and personnel in place needed to deal with air defense against an enemy missile barrage.

Finally, as reported by Zerohedge, an extra U.S. aircraft carrier and amphibious warship are about to arrive in the Arabian Sea thus placing maximum American naval forces around Iran just in time for the October 15th new moon:
The news surrounding the Middle East, particularly Iran and Syria, may come and go in waves, but for the most part it is loud political grandstanding, jawboning and largely noise. Or rather, it will be noise until these two catalytic events occur: the third US Aircraft carrier (CVN-74 Stennis) and the second big deck amphibious warfare ship (LHA-5 Peleliu), both dispatched as of several weeks ago with a destination the 5th US Fleet headquartered in Bahrain, reach their target - the Arabian Sea, located by the Straits of Hormuz and right next to Iran. As the following naval update map from Stratfor shows, both are now within a week of reaching their destination: conveniently so with at least two weeks to go until the presidential election. Needless to say, once on location, the naval and airborne support for any offensive operation, especially those launched during new moon cycles, will be simply suffocating. 

Are the U.S. and Israel preparing for a strike on Iran around the time of the upcoming new moon on October 15th?



This is an even greater concern IMHO given the pattern of historic mass panics  climaxing into this mid-autumn new moon as identified in my earlier writings on the subject.

I sincerely hope and pray my conjectures here are totally off base and unreasonable, but this all seems to make too much sense.  If what I'm pointing out is accurate, then this weekend might be your last chance to put a plan together for evacuating and/or sheltering in place in the event of global nuclear war.  Please do so accordingly.






ALSO SEE:

PREDICTION: Israeli Strike On Iran Will Take Place October 15th

Turkey Redirects European Missile Defense System to Syria

Tuesday, October 09, 2012

Why did Israel just deploy a Patriot missile battery atop Mount Carmel?!

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As examined in my previous blog, we are currently in a seasonal period I deem to be extremely dangerous for mankind. It was during this time, going into the new moon that marks the end of the month of Tishrei on the lunar-based Hebrew calendar, that the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes occurred as well as when the closest approaches to nuclear world war took place during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War. This seasonal pattern is a notable corroboration of my primary thesis that man as a species suffers from a "Global Bipolar Disorder" such that there are ongoing extreme swings in mass mood between social manias and collective depressions which shape human history.

In this context, I remain very alert to news during this period that suggests any possibility of the "apocalyptic vision" I had in February 1991 which began with a chemical SCUD missile attack on Haifa, Israel. This morning I came across a news story that specifically indicates such a possibility:



Patriot Anti-Missile Battery Deployed Near Haifa on Mt. Carmel

By Chana Ya'ar

First Publish: 10/8/2012, 11:18 PM

A Patriot anti-missile battery has been installed in the north, atop Mt. Carmel near Haifa. However, according to the IDF Spokesperson's Unit, deployment of a Patriot battery “is not an unusual thing.”

The system, operated by the IDF Air Defense Command, is capable of intercepting flying objects (balllistic missiles, aircraft and other threats) at ranges between 60 to 160 kilometers ( 37 to 99 miles). The Patriot system was used during the Gulf War to intercept missiles fired at Israel from Iraq.

Installation of the battery in the north came after the IDF shot down a UAV (unmanned aerial vehicle) that flew nearly the entire length of the country, albeit most of the way via the Mediterranean.

The small drone was shot down Saturday morning over an uninhabited area in the northern Negev Desert. Two Israeli F-16 fighter jets “escorted” the aircraft on its journey down the coast before destroying the aircraft.

It is widely assumed that the drone was transmitting photographs, and if it had continued on its easterly course from Gaza, it would have flown near, or directly over the Dimona nuclear reactor. Israeli officials have been concerned for some time that the facility could be vulnerable to an attack from Iran.

According to a report on the Beirut-based pan-Arab television station Al-Mayadeen, with links to the Hizbullah terrorist organization, Hizbullah was responsible for the drone's flagrant violation of Israeli air space. In a brief statement, the station said the drone managed “to penetrate 100 kilometers and raise tension in Israel.” However, Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah has not made an official comment on the incident.

The obvious question is this: What would lead Israeli Defense Forces to deploy a Patriot anti-missile battery atop Mount Carmel at this time unless there's anticipation of a missile attack on Haifa? Is Israel planning retaliation against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon for the drone flown over the Jewish state Saturday? If so, will this provoke a military response from Hezbollah including a missile barrage against Israel including the northern city of Haifa? Will those missiles contain chemical weapons as I foresaw 20 years ago?

I certainly hope and pray not, but this is the period I've long considered most likely for the world to share my apocalyptic vision. God I hope I'm deluded...

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Man's Seasonal Insanity

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In August of last year I wrote an important blog examining the seasonality of man's manic-depressive psychotic disorder which I've dubbed the "Global Bipolar Disorder".  I've discovered that there is a distinct circannual pattern to swings in mass mood such that bouts of collective panic and depression tend to strike in the autumn, with full-scale "crashes" typically occurring during a two-week period starting around Tishrei 10 (Yom Kippur) and climaxing into Tishrei 25-28 on the lunar-based Hebrew calendar.

The most profound examples of this in the financial realm were the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes:



While 1929 and 1987 are clear examples of how collective panics can strike financial markets in the Fall after Yom Kippur, it's also possible that waves of mass fear and anxiety come in the form of autumn geopolitical crises.  Two of the most profound examples of this, which also occurred in the two-week period between Yom Kippur and the end of Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar, were the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and 1973 Yom Kippur Arab-Israeli War: the closest times the world came to global nuclear war.

Yom Kippur took place on October 8th, 1962.  On October 7th that year, Cuban President Osvaldo Dorticós announced to the UN General Assembly: "If ... we are attacked, we will defend ourselves. I repeat, we have sufficient means with which to defend ourselves; we have indeed our inevitable weapons, the weapons, which we would have preferred not to acquire, and which we do not wish to employ." Shortly thereafter, a U.S. reconnaissance flight over Cuba revealed the presence of Soviet medium range ballistic missiles. From there a crisis quickly developed as President Kennedy confronted Moscow over the presence of nuclear missiles in Cuba and then blockaded the island.  The crisis continued to deepen and on October 25th, which was the 27th of Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar, the DEFCON nuclear alert status was raised to "2" for the first time in history as the world was at the brink of nuclear war.  An agreement was reached between the leaders of America and Russia soon thereafter and world war three was averted.



In 1973, Yom Kippur occurred on October 6th.  On that day, a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria launched a surprise attack against Israel.  The Arab forces made significant gains against the Jewish state but soon fell into retreat and by October 24th, the 28th of Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar, the IDF had encircled Egypt's Third Army and the city of Suez. Consequently, a nuclear confrontation developed between the U.S. and Soviet Union as America raised its DEFCON nuclear alert status to "3", the second closest the world ever came to nuclear war.  Soon thereafter the crisis was resolved.



Thus, there is a distinct historical pattern to man's manic-depressive insanity that involves mass panics during the Fall and between Yom Kippur and the end of the month of Tishrei on the Hebrew calendar.  The latter period saw both the historic 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes as well as the two geopolitical crises that brought the world closest to a nuclear third world war: the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and the 1973 Arab-Israeli War.

Wednesday, September 26th, Yom Kippur will occur this year around.  Will the historical pattern prove relevant in 2012?  Let's hope and pray not, but there's certainly enough trouble in the Middle East nowadays to be on guard. It won't take much for the world to share the apocalyptic vision I suffered in 1991 that began by seeing a special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel. [NOTE: Tishrei 25-28, the seasonal period of most acute panic in 1929, 1962, 1973 and 1987, will occur from October 11th to 14th this year.]



"The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results." - Albert Einstein

Thursday, July 19, 2012

The Missing Damascus Bombing: What's Really Going On In Syria?! (update 2)

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ALSO SEE:

Original Blog - What's Really Going On In Syria?!

7/16/12 update

12/13/12: Another mysterious 'terrorist' bombing in Damascus

12/20/12: Video Of Rabbits Being Poisoned By Sarin Gas

The big news of the day out of Syria is that a large bomb blast took place in the National Security Headquarters in Damascus that killed three key members of President Bashar Assad's inner circle of power.



Also see: As it happened: Top Syrian ministers 'killed'


Here's what ABC and CBS nightly news reported on the alleged bombing:





The Free Syrian Army has taken credit for the apparent attack in Damascus:



The New York Times and other prominent news organizations have been quick to point out how significant the Damascus bombing is in the unfolding crisis. From the article, "Damascus Confronts New Reality After Brazen Attack":

Something fundamental shifted in Damascus on Wednesday, a kind of before-the-bombing reality and a far different one afterward.

“Really, up until this morning you could sense that the regime still had a firm grip over the country,” said a 25-year-old resident of the old city, declining to give her name amid the unsettling events.

Stores were initially open, she said, and the traffic, albeit light, moved easily. University students were sitting for exams.

Then came the startling announcements on state television, one after another starting around noon, that a bomb had exploded in a small meeting of the country’s crucial security figures, killing three of them, including Asef Shawkat, the brother-in-law of President Bashar al-Assad.

“Everything changed after 3 p.m., and things turned in a totally different direction,” she said, echoing comments made by numerous Damascus residents reached via the Internet.

From the New York Times article, "Syrian Rebels Land Deadly Blow to Assad’s Inner Circle":

The killing on Wednesday of President Bashar al-Assad’s key security aides in a brazen bombing attack, close to Mr. Assad’s own residence, called into question the ability of a government that depends on an insular group of loyalists to function effectively as it battles a strengthening opposition.

The strike dealt a potent blow to the government, as much for where it took place as for the individuals who were targeted: the very cabinet ministers and intelligence chiefs who have coordinated the government’s iron-fisted approach to the uprising. The defense minister and the president’s brother-in-law were both killed, and others were seriously wounded.

The attack on the leadership’s inner sanctum as fighting raged in sections of the city for the fourth day suggested that the uprising had reached a decisive moment in the overall struggle for Syria. The battle for the capital, the center of Assad family power, appears to have begun. Though there was no indication he was wounded, Mr. Assad stayed out of public view — unusual but not unprecedented in a secretive country where the government has long tried to present an image of quiet control.

There's only one problem with mainstream news reports above about the Damascus bombing and likewise the response of the U.S. government to this news: it appears that no such bombing at the Syrian National Security Headquarters actually took place.

BBC News started to ascertain that something was seriously amiss right after Syrian national TV reported the bombing:





The BBC's suspicions that some sort of false story was being generated coalesced into a more thorough report by day's end:



From the BBC article, "Damascus 'bombing': A turning point?"

The reported attack in Damascus could mark an important symbolic turning point in the struggle to overthrow President Bashar al-Assad's regime.

The claim that a bomber was able to carry out such an attack against a high security target speaks volumes about the government's ability to protect its own members and raises questions about the broader capacities of Syria's "security state".

Caution, though, is still needed.

Details of the event are sketchy, contested, and rely upon elements all with their own axes to grind.

Why, according to reliable witnesses, does the building where the bomb apparently went off appear to be undamaged? Why has Syrian government TV refrained from showing its usual lurid images of the casualties?

Conspiracy theorists may have a field-day, but there is one inescapable fact.

The news put out by the Syrian government of a rebel attack against the very heart of the regime cannot be interpreted as anything other than a disaster for President Assad and his supporters.

It sends out a message that if these men cannot be protected by the state security apparatus, then who can? It is in this sense that the attack marks a new phase in the struggle for Syria's future.

What the BBC should really be asking is, if the Damascus bombing did not really occur, why would the Assad regime "put out" such self-defeating news?

What's more, will ABC, CBS and other major news sources adjust their reporting according to historical reality rather than continue embellishing this fictitious event? Will the U.S. government adjust its thinking for the truth rather than the latest lies from Damascus?

I wouldn't hold your breath. This newest, most blatant, version of misinformation flowing out of Syria will likely be incorporated into the whole edifice of historical lies Moscow has been building in this world over the past couple decades to achieve the West's defeat. I will, as usual, remain unheeded as everyone continues to happily cooperate in their own annihilation.

What is odd about this latest lie, however, is that it was delivered so sloppily, as if there was an intent to be caught. Why would that be? I honestly do not know. Maybe Syria and like authoritarian powers are just that arrogant in telling their bald-faced lies since they know how easily the uncritical media and mindless masses fall for such falsehoods.

Monday, July 16, 2012

What's Really Going On In Syria?! (update)

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ALSO SEE:

Original Blog - What's Really Going On In Syria?!

7/19/12: The Missing Damascus Bombing

12/13/12: Another mysterious 'terrorist' bombing in Damascus

12/20/12: Video Of Rabbits Being Poisoned By Sarin Gas

The day after I posted my blog, "What's Really Going On In Syria?", the Los Angeles Times has managed to provide another seemingly fanciful answer.



According to their article, "Syria rebels seek weapons, money on Turkish border":

Along the Syria-Turkey border, the bomb maker was displaying his homemade mortar launcher, crafted from a tube and bits of metal. "Whatever we need to produce, we Google it," said the factory worker turned rebel commander and arms procurer in a border village where goats and insurgents walk along steep mountain paths.

If this all weren't so tragic, preposterous news reports like this would be LMAO material. But, alas, since Western intelligence (an oxymoron if there ever was one) consistently falls for this nonsense, it's more like CMAO ("C" for cry).

So there you have it folks, the media have gotten to the bottom of the mystery of how the Syrian opposition has emerged and become magically so well-armed as to take on the historically brutal 300,000-man Syrian Armed Forces. Per the Global Post reports noted in yesterday's blog, around 40 percent of the Free Syrian Army's military equipment is purchased directly from the Syrian Army, about half their arms are looted from Syrian forces in combat and the remaining ten percent is brought in across the border from Islamic militants that use Google from their mud huts in border villages to search out designs for weapons manufacturing.

Now there's this bridge in Brooklyn I've been meaning to sell...

Sunday, July 15, 2012

What's Really Going On In Syria?!

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ALSO SEE:

7/16/12 update

7/19/12: The Missing Damascus Bombing

12/13/12: Another mysterious 'terrorist' bombing in Damascus

12/20/12: Video Of Rabbits Being Poisoned By Sarin Gas


In my most recent blog, I warned that the world might soon witness the catastrophe I foresaw 21-years-ago in association with an apocalyptic vision connected to the 8th chapter from the Bible's Book Of Revelation: a Syrian chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel. As I've long been warning, this will be followed by a global nuclear war and the effective destruction and subjugation of Western Civilization by the totalitarian powers of the East.

While most people have been carefully conditioned to blindly accept the upcoming chain of events as a consequence of randomness and historical misfortune, I maintain as always that what the world is witnessing is the product of the historical machinations of what former President Ronald Reagan dubbed the "Evil Empire":



The strategic objective of Moscow has never changed, i.e., the vilification and destruction of America and the Western powers for the sake of global military, geopolitical domination. It's simply that the tactics in recent decades have been necessarily deceptive.

Keep in mind loose ends I've identified in the so-called "Arab Spring" uprisings that raise questions about what is truly behind unfolding events. For instance, consider the Iranian naval flotilla dispatched by Tehran to the Mediterranean Sea on January 23rd, 2011 (see Fars News report). It was clear Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would not allow this flotilla to pass through the Suez Canal when it arrived, but since Mubarak was deposed on February 11th (the 32nd anniversary of the Iranian Revolution), the ships were able to successfully pass later that month given the new leadership in Egypt. The only problem is....the Egyptian Revolution did not begin until January 25th, two days after the naval dispatch was announced. So did Tehran know ahead of time that Egypt's president would soon be out of the way when it put its symbolic flotilla to sea?!

This, of course, calls into question the whole 'spontaneous' character of the Egyptian Revolution and other associated Arab Spring uprisings and indicates that what the world is witnessing may have a hidden hand, I believe principally from the Kremlin, guiding the historical way.

With regard to Syria's role in Moscow's plan, I'm uncertain what is going on with the 'uprising' there, but some things seriously don't add up.

Consider for instance the arming of the "Free Syrian Army". Did you know that the vast majority of their arms have been supplied by the Syrian Armed Forces (SAF) to-date?

From the Global Post article, "Inside Syria: You will never guess who arms the rebels":

For the release of this prisoner, Ahmed Haseeba, the group received $500. With this money, Fatahallah said they were able to buy ammunition from their main supplier: Syria’s national army, also known as the enemy.
This strange cycle of exchanging prisoners for weapons has been playing out between rebel forces and President Bashar al-Assad’s army since the beginning of the revolution. 
Fatahallah estimated that his village purchased 40 percent of their weapons from the regime. Prisoner exchanges have so far contributed almost $80,000 toward weapons purchases, he said. And they obtain an additional 50 percent of their weapons during battle. The remaining 10 percent are donated and smuggled from outside the country, or are purchased from private merchants, mostly from Iraq.

So the Syrian Army is arming the opposition, and somehow the West is being blamed for the insurgency?

Something is just not kosher here.

Now watch the following news report from the same source, Global Post, that was aired on the PBS Newshour on June 22nd, the day Syria shot down a Turkish jet:

Watch Who are Syria's Rebel Forces? on PBS. See more from PBS NewsHour.


From both the Global Post article and the video we find the following curious tidbit of information:

Back at the base, the men were relaxing after lunch when a loud explosion shocked everyone to their feet. As they feared, the previous night’s purchase of Kalashnikov bullets had been booby-trapped. This time their colleagues were lucky enough to survive the discovery.

The men had learned from prior experience — bullets acquired from the regime are sometimes emptied of their gunpowder and filled with TNT designed to destroy the Kalashnikov and its owner, rather than the enemy.

After several injuries and the loss of two rifles, the men had learned to spot the fakes. To everyone’s relief this had been a controlled explosion, by someone suspicious of the new batch. The damage inflicted was only a blackened hand, some singed hair and a hole in the table.

“These ones here are good bullets,” said battalion leader Asad Ibrahim, showing the red marking on the base of one of the bullets. Holding up another with a slightly darker red off-center mark he said, “These are Bashar’s bullets to explode our guns.”

Here's my read of this.

What your viewing is MISinformation.

If Bashar al-Assad's regime is intent on scuttling the 'Free Syrian Army' and opposition forces once and for all, and the Syrian Armed Forces (SAF) are the principal source of military equipment for their opponents, then wouldn't it make sense to crack down internally? What's more, any internal crackdown in the SAF would hopefully opt to eliminate the transfer of arms to the enemy rather than sabotaging a token few bullets. Can you imagine the American military combating the Taliban in Afghanistan by selling them armaments with a few booby-trapped bullets as some sort of ill-fated attempt at stopping opposition? This is obvious BS of the extraordinarily smelly sort intended for gullible Western audiences IMHO.

To what End does this nonsense lead?

I think, ultimately, that's what I've foreseen.

Now let's consider the insights of Pavel Stroilov, who I quote at the beginning of my key blog, "Russia Was Behind 9/11". Stroilov is a Russian exile living in London who translated and edited Alexander Litvinenko’s book, Allegations. In a recent Tablet article from Claire Berlinski, "The Cold War’s Arab Spring: Stolen Kremlin records show how the Soviets, including Gorbachev, created many of today’s Middle East conflicts", we read the following:

The dominant narrative of modern Middle East history emphasizes the depredations visited upon the region by European colonization and accepts as a truism that the former colonial powers prioritized the protection of their material interests—in oil, above all—above the dignity and self-determination of the region’s inhabitants. Thus did botched decolonization result in endless instability. The most intractable of the regional conflicts to which this gave rise, that between the Arabs and Israelis, is attributed in this narrative to Israel’s unwillingness to accede to Palestinian national aspirations. Thus did the region become a breeding ground for radicalism, intensified by Cold War rivalry between the superpowers, who replaced the European colonizers as the region’s meddling overlords. Then came Mikhail Gorbachev—a Westernizing reformer. At last, the Cold War was over. A new world order was at hand.

What if this conventional wisdom is nonsense? Russian exile Pavel Stroilov argues just this in his forthcoming book, Behind the Desert Storm. “Not a word of it is true,” he writes. “It was the Soviet Empire—not the British Empire—that was responsible for the instability in the Middle East.”

Stroilov, a historian now living in London, fled Russia in 2003 after stealing 50,000 top-secret Kremlin documents from the Gorbachev Foundation archives, where he was working as a researcher. He was given access to the archive in 1999, but Gorbachev refused him permission to copy its most significant documents. Having observed the network administrator entering the password into the system, Stroilov reproduced the archive and sent it to secure locations around the world.

....

Stroilov’s book about these documents, many only now translated into English, challenges the conventional wisdom that Western colonialists are to blame for the chaos in the region. All of its major conflicts, he argues, were caused by Soviet expansionism. Terrorism and the rabid anti-Israeli animus of the Arab world were Soviet inspirations....The documents clearly suggest that many contemporary conflicts in the Middle East were fomented by the Soviet empire, particularly in the final years before its break-up. And the events he describes have had a significant impact upon the current state of the region—from the conflict in Iraq to the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, to the development of a de facto alliance between the European Union and the Arab states.

....

In a National Review article, (Ion) Pacepa (the highest-ranking defector from the Soviet Bloc) recalls a conversation he had with KGB chairman Yuri Andropov, who envisioned fomenting “a Nazi-style hatred for the Jews throughout the Islamic world. … We had only to keep repeating our themes—that the United States and Israel were ‘fascist, imperial-Zionist countries’ bankrolled by rich Jews.”

In the mid-1970s, Pacepa recalls, the KGB ordered its Eastern European sister agencies to scour the Middle East for trusted agents, train them in disinformation and terrorism, and export a “rabid, demented hatred for American Zionism.” They showered the region with an Arabic translation of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion and KGB-fabricated documents alleging that Israel and the United States were dedicated to converting the Islamic world into a Jewish colony.

Following the defeat of the Egyptians in the Six Day War, the Soviets came to a second realization: A conventional military confrontation with Israel, and by extension the West, carried too great a risk of escalating into nuclear war. A change of tactics was required.

I believe that change in tactics included the determination that a global nuclear war need be fought to achieve final victory, something spelled out in Joseph Douglass' classic 1979 text, Soviet Strategy For Nuclear War (Hoover international studies). Douglass noted how classified Soviet military literature emphasized the importance of "surprise" over and over again as the key to victory over the West in a conflict that involves the rapid delivery of weapons of mass destruction by missiles.

In thinking 'The Unthinkable', Moscow strategists would have considered the seeming inevitability of a full-scale East-West conflict and determined it would likely emanate from the Middle East and the Arab-Israeli conflict in particularly. Hence, an optimal strategy was devised to wage an era of 'false peace' to delude the West into an effectively suicidal false sense of security such that our nuclear guard be minimized as much as possible before full-scale conflict. Meanwhile, the Mideast cauldron has been manipulated in such a way that when war comes, Israeli aggressiveness ("Zionism") and Western "Imperialism" in the region will be blamed for causing the global holocaust of mass destruction in the form of a nuclear third world war that just happens to catch the West totally by surprise.

What's incredibly sad and tragic, IMHO, is that in 20+ years seemingly no one (save maybe Jeff Nyquist) has been willing to see history the way I have and do something to contravene the catastrophic fate everyone is wittingly and/or unwittingly making. Indeed, I think it's as I've long-since assessed: ours is a very, very sick species that prefers comforting lies to the hard truth at almost every turn even though this is collectively suicidal in the long-run.

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Puetz eclipse crash window just opened....again...

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There will be a partial lunar eclipse on June 4th (just before the rare Venus transit of the Sun). This comes in the wake of the "Ring Of Fire" solar eclipse that occurred on May 20th.

Per Steve Puetz, the eclipse "crash window" is supposed to be from 6 days before to 3 days after a full moon within six weeks of a solar eclipse, but most often panics occur around the time of a lunar eclipse two weeks after a solar eclipse:

"Puetz attempted to discover if eclipses and market crashes were somehow connected. Without discussing our own opinion on the potential connection between astronomical configurations and market timing, let's simply relate to you the basic findings discussed by Puetz. He emphasized that he is not contending that full moons close to solar eclipses cause market crashes. But he does conclude that a full moon in general and a lunar (eclipse) full moon close to solar eclipses, in particular, seem to be the triggering device that allows for the rapid transformation of investor psychology from manic greed to paranoia. He asks what the odds are that eight of the greatest market crashes in history would accidentally fall within a time period of six days before to three days after a full moon that occurred within six weeks of a solar eclipse? His answer is that for all eight crashes to accidentally fall within the required intervals would be .23 raised to the eighth power less than one chance in 127,000."

". . .Puetz) used eight previous crashes in various markets from the Holland Tulip Mania in 1637 through the Tokyo crash in 1990. He noted that market crashes tend to be lumped near the full moons that are also lunar eclipses. In fact, he states, the greatest number of crashes start after the first full moon after a solar eclipse when that full moon is also a lunar eclipse . . Once the panic starts, Puetz notes, it generally lasts from two to four weeks. The tendency has been for the markets to peak a few days ahead of the full moon, move flat to slightly lower --waiting for the full moon to pass. Then on the day of the full moon or slightly after, the brunt of the crash hits the marketplace."

Thus, we are in a Puetz eclipse crash window from now until around June 7th.

Will a crash here be of Grand Supercycle magnitude and involve the suicide of the species? In the context the seasonality of man's insane mass mood swings, it's possible:



Notably, the suicide rate peaks in May/June:

Psychiatrists have been scratching their chins over this one for years. Counterintuitively, the arrival of spring and the long sunny days it ushers in, mark a staggering rise in suicide rates.

This week, mental health experts at the Priory group said that May is the peak month for suicides in Britain. "The increase can be dramatic, with up to 50% more successful suicides in some cases," says Chris Thompson, director of healthcare at the Priory group. In Britain, about 6,300 people take their own lives each year, 90% of whom are likely to have mental health problems.

The seasonal effect is seen all over the world, with the northern hemisphere witnessing a big rise in suicides in May and June and the southern hemisphere seeing a similar rise in November. While no one has a complete explanation as to why, the leading theory is that the increase is down to the effects of sunlight on our hormones.

Given recent reports concerning Syria, it could well be that the world is about to witness the special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel I foresaw in February 1991:

The joint US and Arab military exercise "Eager Lion" that ended in Jordan on Sunady included a simulation of fighting militias attempting to take over weapons arsenal, specifically chemical missiles in Syria, a senior diplomatic source told the London based newspaper Al-Quds Al-Arabi.

I hope and pray otherwise, but one should be apprised of the current danger and be ready to evacuate or shelter-in-place as need be.

Obviously, financial markets could very well suffer a panic without war given the Eurocalypse that is currently unfolding.







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