Stock Market Crash?: Dow reverses from 15000 mark...

The DJIA fell sharply today and closed below the psychologically important 15000 mark:


Reversals from psychologically important thousand marks are often associated with major breaks in mass psychology that can take the form of financial panics and/or even war.

This reversal comes in the wake of a Hindenburg Omen signal that often presages stock market crashes:

The much-ballyhooed Hindenburg Omen has generated plenty of criticism over the years. But a deeper dive into the data this time around suggests there may be more to worry now about than many analysts are letting on to believe.

Jason Goepfert, founder of Sundial Capital Research and author of the SentimenTrader Daily Report, said there have been a cluster of five Hindenburg Omens over the past few weeks. As a student of investor psychology and sentiment trends, he’s worried about what potentially lies ahead.

“That’s a heavy concentration that we haven’t seen too many other times over a span of nearly 50 years,” Goepfert wrote in his Monday report. “And when we have, it hasn’t been good.”

Meanwhile, the Elliott Wave pattern that's developed in the stock market is conducive to a count that portends a major break in global equity prices.

Puetz eclipse crash window just opened....again...

There will be a partial lunar eclipse on June 4th (just before the rare Venus transit of the Sun). This comes in the wake of the "Ring Of Fire" solar eclipse that occurred on May 20th.

Per Steve Puetz, the eclipse "crash window" is supposed to be from 6 days before to 3 days after a full moon within six weeks of a solar eclipse, but most often panics occur around the time of a lunar eclipse two weeks after a solar eclipse:

"Puetz attempted to discover if eclipses and market crashes were somehow connected. Without discussing our own opinion on the potential connection between astronomical configurations and market timing, let's simply relate to you the basic findings discussed by Puetz. He emphasized that he is not contending that full moons close to solar eclipses cause market crashes. But he does conclude that a full moon in general and a lunar (eclipse) full moon close to solar eclipses, in particular, seem to be the triggering device that allows for the rapid transformation of investor psychology from manic greed to paranoia. He asks what the odds are that eight of the greatest market crashes in history would accidentally fall within a time period of six days before to three days after a full moon that occurred within six weeks of a solar eclipse? His answer is that for all eight crashes to accidentally fall within the required intervals would be .23 raised to the eighth power less than one chance in 127,000."

". . .Puetz) used eight previous crashes in various markets from the Holland Tulip Mania in 1637 through the Tokyo crash in 1990. He noted that market crashes tend to be lumped near the full moons that are also lunar eclipses. In fact, he states, the greatest number of crashes start after the first full moon after a solar eclipse when that full moon is also a lunar eclipse . . Once the panic starts, Puetz notes, it generally lasts from two to four weeks. The tendency has been for the markets to peak a few days ahead of the full moon, move flat to slightly lower --waiting for the full moon to pass. Then on the day of the full moon or slightly after, the brunt of the crash hits the marketplace."

Thus, we are in a Puetz eclipse crash window from now until around June 7th.

Will a crash here be of Grand Supercycle magnitude and involve the suicide of the species? In the context the seasonality of man's insane mass mood swings, it's possible:



Notably, the suicide rate peaks in May/June:

Psychiatrists have been scratching their chins over this one for years. Counterintuitively, the arrival of spring and the long sunny days it ushers in, mark a staggering rise in suicide rates.

This week, mental health experts at the Priory group said that May is the peak month for suicides in Britain. "The increase can be dramatic, with up to 50% more successful suicides in some cases," says Chris Thompson, director of healthcare at the Priory group. In Britain, about 6,300 people take their own lives each year, 90% of whom are likely to have mental health problems.

The seasonal effect is seen all over the world, with the northern hemisphere witnessing a big rise in suicides in May and June and the southern hemisphere seeing a similar rise in November. While no one has a complete explanation as to why, the leading theory is that the increase is down to the effects of sunlight on our hormones.

Given recent reports concerning Syria, it could well be that the world is about to witness the special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel I foresaw in February 1991:

The joint US and Arab military exercise "Eager Lion" that ended in Jordan on Sunady included a simulation of fighting militias attempting to take over weapons arsenal, specifically chemical missiles in Syria, a senior diplomatic source told the London based newspaper Al-Quds Al-Arabi.

I hope and pray otherwise, but one should be apprised of the current danger and be ready to evacuate or shelter-in-place as need be.

Obviously, financial markets could very well suffer a panic without war given the Eurocalypse that is currently unfolding.

Ancient Roman depiction of Jesus

Dow Closes Below 13000 Mark

The DJIA fell one percent today closing below the psychologically important 13000 mark:



If the recent high was the completion of the Primary Wave 2 rebound from the March 2009 low under the tenets of the Elliott Wave Principle, then Primary Wave 3 is underway....what I've been warning could be the "Apocalypse Wave".



As explained in past blogs, breaking below the psychologically important 13K mark in the DJIA may be a prelude to negative historical events.

Notably, shots were fired from Syria into Turkey today that could mean Syria is about to go ballistic in response to Turkish, and in association NATO, military intervention.



This could result in a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel and subsequent regional and then global war as I foresaw in February 1991.

Also, one might keep an eye on China and Korea since North Korea might soon provoke a conflict just as political instability is purportedly occurring in Beijing.



Again, these sorts of geopolitical developments toward an East-West conflict are consistent with a swing into mass depression as described by my Global Bipolar Hypothesis.

Of course, the most likely possibility is that the stock market will levitate back above Dow 13000 based upon the American motto, 'In Mammon We Trust'. Let's falsely hope so!

The Final Days Or Happy Halloween?

Tomorrow is slated to be the 'End of the World'....again....according to infamous Apocalypse prognosticator Harold Camping:





Meanwhile, we are on the verge of the potential "dark days" of October when the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes occurred according to mass mood seasonality as I've been pointing out since August. The 27th and 28th days of the lunar month, which are equivalent to Tishrei 25-26 on the Hebrew calendar, will fall on October 23rd and 24th this year, i.e., this coming Sunday and Monday. Add this to the fact that the Dow Jones Composite continues to struggle at the psychologically important 4000 mark, and one can not discount the possibility of a sudden immense crash, possibly precipitated by an historical crisis of some sort.

Finally, let's not forget that popular culture is most likely mistaken in its notion that December 21, 2012 marks the end of the Mayan calendar. According to some experts, the calendar actually ends October 28th of this year, i.e., in a week's time:



Praying that the coming week passes without incident and the only mass scares are those which we do to ourselves for entertainment on what will hopefully be a happy Halloween...

Retest of 4K on the Dow Jones Composite

Just a quick note on the stock market.

Yesterday we retested the 4000 mark in the Dow Jones Composite and then sharply reversed course:



I blogged in late-August when 4K on the DJ Composite marked the last significant turning point in the stock market and mass mood:



Last December I examined the historical record concerning reversals from thousand marks in the Dow Jones Composite. Here's the instances I highlighted:







The 1987 stock market crash, Saddam Hussein's 1990 invasion of Kuwait, the 9/11 terrorist attacks in September 2001 and the Autumn 2008 financial crisis all coincided with reversals from key thousand marks in the Dow Jones Composite. This is the same sort of pattern observed with reversals from thousand marks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) as examined in my thesis about 'Manic-Depressive Man'.

What will the current reversal from the 4000 mark in the DJ Composite mean for the world? Obviously, we will soon find out. While most watching financial markets are focused upon troubles in Europe, my sense is that the Middle East might soon prove far more relevant to any unfolding mass panic. Why? It's all about man's "global bipolar disorder". (Consider the Middle East as the limbic system, i.e., the center of mass emotion, in the mind of man. It is a potential trigger point when conflict arises between the bipolar global hemispheres.)

Unfortunately, because everyone around me is, by my own definition, insane, almost no one comprehends the truth I've been revealing. Just consider how, at the current juncture of gross mass delusion, economic "science" is focused upon "general equilibrium", "rational expectations", "efficient markets" and stock prices following a "random walk". Could science be any further from an accurate historical assessment of man's own nature?! (And I'm the crazy one?) Thus, we are all doomed, and that's all there is to it. There's nothing I can do to change the fate that man makes for himself because apparently the 'Author' has written 'The Book' accordingly.

Meanwhile, McChristians and the various proponents of world religion are busy worshiping the "Creator", but little do they realize that our Creator may be a mad genius akin to Isaac Newton or Ludwig van Beethoven. Increasingly, I'm coming to the conclusion that we are but thoughts caught up in the Mind of a creative divine lunatic. Is this something to celebrate? (Even more disturbing: Is that Madman somehow me?)

Oh well, on that last point one might note that tomorrow is the anniversary of 9/11 on the lunar-based Hewbrew calendar. Normally I would think this irrelevant, but the dramatic reversal in mass mood from the 4K mark on the Dow Jones Composite over the last two days has me concerned that some sort of historical shock is near. I've certainly been wrong before in this short-term expectation. Let's hope this is the case here as well.

DJ Composite Hits 4K

The Dow Jones Composite kissed the 4000 mark into the close today in stock trading and then the market reversed a bit:



Like with reversals from thousand marks in the DJIA, sometimes reversals from thousand marks in the DJ Composite are associated with significant negative historical shocks.

See my December 8, 2010 blog: Reversals from Thousand Marks in the Dow Jones Composite Index

I'm afraid what I've foreseen is drawing near:

DJIA breaks below the 12,000 mark - possible historical shock ahead

The DJIA fell 172 points today and closed below the psychologically significant 12,000 mark.

This is when negative historical shocks tend to erupt.



For instance, just after the DJIA closed below 12,000 on March 10th of this year, a 9.0 earthquake and massive tsunami struck Japan after which the Fukushima nuclear crisis developed that upset financial markets around the world.





That the current reversal below Dow 12K has occurred going into a Puetz eclipse crash window just after the major planetary alignment in May is very alarming. The 'Apocalypse Wave' indicated by the Elliott Wave Principle may be here.



In this regard, one should bear in mind my apocalyptic vision that began with seeing a special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel....something Bashar Assad's Syria could make happen in it's current seeming struggle for survival.

God have mercy...

Who Authors Human History?

I believe we may now be entering a very important juncture in human history.

The DJIA recently reversed from the psychologically important 10,000 mark:



This may have been, or will soon be, the peak of an Elliott Wave Primary wave-two in a Grand Superycle bear market:



Mid-October will see a significant cluster of Spiral Calendar anniversaries that suggests some sort of extreme in mass emotion lies dead ahead:



You can add to that chart above that October 16th is a significant F25 Spiral Calendar anniversary of the August 1987 top before that year's crash. The Spiral Calendar, derived from lunar cycles and Fibonacci-based periodicity, pinpoints extremes of mass emotion based upon the timing of past extremes of mass emotion.

While Chris Carolan has been looking for a top into October 9th, it's possible the stock market and mass mood already topped and there will be a mass panic into that window of time.

Note that the week of October 11-17 will involve the "Dark Days" of autumn identified by Carolan as the most likely point during the year for panic climaxes to occur:





Note that last year the implied volatility index, which is a gauge of overall fear on Wall Street, also climaxed into the 28th day of the 7th lunar month during last year's financial crisis:





This phenomenon can be more accurately ascertained by looking up the dates of key panic climaxes (including maximum DEFCON nuclear alerts in October of 1962 and 1973) using a lunar-based Hebrew calendar converter:

13 October 1857 = Panic of 1857 = 25th of Tishrei, 5618

24 September 1869 = Black Friday in 1869 = 19th of Tishrei, 5630

29 October 1929 = 1929 Stock Market Crash = 25th of Tishrei, 5690

23 October 1962 = Cuban Missile Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5723

Wed, 24 October 1973 = Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War = 28th of Tishrei, 5734

Mon, 19 October 1987 = 1987 Stock Market Crash = 26th of Tishrei, 5748

Tue, 28 October 1997 = 1997 Asian Financial Crisis = 27th of Tishrei, 5758

Fri, 24 October 2008 = 2008 Financial Crisis = 25th of Tishrei, 5769

Tue, 13 October 2009 = 25th of Tishrei, 5770

This year the week of October 11-17, which is equivalent to Tishrei 23-29, is the typical period for a panic extreme, so we are now nearing the time of year most vulnerable to mass hysterias. Again....this may take the form of global war.